Adrian, MI, Michigan: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+23%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 98,4152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,5182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 20,787 | 33,463 | 55,093 | ||
| R | 20,918 | 31,541 | 53,375 | ||
| R | 16,750 | 26,430 | 46,298 | ||
| R | 21,776 | 22,351 | 44,928 | ||
| D | 24,640 | 22,225 | 47,734 | ||
| R | 20,787 | 25,675 | 47,012 | ||
| R | 18,365 | 20,681 | 40,093 | ||
| D | 16,924 | 14,168 | 35,619 | ||
| D | 15,399 | 14,297 | 39,365 | ||
| R | 13,690 | 19,115 | 33,048 | ||
| R | 11,012 | 22,409 | 33,597 | ||
| R | 12,935 | 20,366 | 36,085 | ||
| R | 14,610 | 18,397 | 33,435 | ||
| R | 11,018 | 19,125 | 30,654 | ||
| R | 10,552 | 16,280 | 29,147 | ||
| D | 16,815 | 11,385 | 28,260 | ||
| R | 10,785 | 19,859 | 30,719 | ||
| R | 7,857 | 21,100 | 29,031 | ||
| R | 7,397 | 20,035 | 27,549 | ||
| R | 6,529 | 14,369 | 21,291 | ||
| R | 6,750 | 16,382 | 23,243 | ||
| R | 7,132 | 16,963 | 24,166 | ||
| R | 8,299 | 12,154 | 21,435 | ||
| R | 10,420 | 10,912 | 21,607 | ||
| R | 4,321 | 14,794 | 19,227 | ||
| R | 3,950 | 13,358 | 18,388 | ||
| R | 5,095 | 11,973 | 17,379 | ||
| R | 5,519 | 6,247 | 12,012 | ||
| D | 4,239 | 2,996 | 11,089 | ||
| R | 4,704 | 6,607 | 11,752 | ||
| R | 3,334 | 7,891 | 11,707 | ||
| R | 5,966 | 6,847 | 13,232 | ||
| R | 6,300 | 6,863 | 13,486 | ||
| R | 5,592 | 5,833 | 12,449 | ||
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Demographics
Adrian anchors Lenawee County, a historically competitive stretch of southeastern Michigan that has shifted toward Republican margins in recent cycles while retaining a manufacturing and agricultural workforce that tracks economic indicators closely.
The Democratic margin in Adrian, MI peaked at nineteen points in 1964. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $70,518 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Adrian, MI, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/10300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.