Anchorage, AK, Alaska: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+13%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 401,9642024 5-year
- Median household income
- $100,6832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 78,215 | 103,174 | 189,828 | ||
| R | 83,774 | 106,595 | 197,445 | ||
| R | 62,555 | 92,548 | 174,735 | ||
| R | 63,373 | 93,714 | 163,517 | ||
| R | 64,570 | 106,984 | 175,671 | ||
| R | 49,896 | 90,405 | 144,544 | ||
| R | 40,080 | 85,929 | 146,329 | ||
| R | 37,170 | 62,933 | 117,648 | ||
| R | 37,248 | 52,789 | 129,266 | ||
| R | 33,601 | 59,360 | 96,393 | ||
| R | 28,105 | 70,926 | 102,317 | ||
| R | 16,502 | 43,964 | 74,092 | ||
| R | 18,622 | 34,766 | 56,652 | ||
| R | 11,637 | 25,972 | 40,859 | ||
| R | 13,898 | 14,908 | 32,987 | ||
| D | 14,863 | 9,462 | 24,325 | ||
| R | 10,372 | 12,127 | 22,499 | ||
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Demographics
Anchorage anchors Alaska's electorate so completely that statewide margins are often decided by how its precincts break, with military households, Alaska Native communities, and a fast-growing Latino population all shaping its competitive tilt.
The Democratic margin in Anchorage, AK has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-two points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $100,683 — all within the broad national range.
Anchorage, AK, Alaska — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/11260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.