akashic
1876–2024
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS·Kansas

Arkansas City-Winfield, KS was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A small Kansas metro where oil-refining heritage meets agricultural plains

18762024·38 elections
KS
Latest
R+40
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
34,411
2024 ACS

Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+63 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+40MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
34,4112024 5-year
Median household income
$57,8782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.2%2024 5-year
Black
2.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
12.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+63 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−40.1%
3,9199,36013,554
R
−37.8%
4,2739,65614,231
R
−37.4%
3,5518,27012,621
R
−29.6%
4,3198,08112,710
R
−25.2%
5,0128,49213,787
R
−31.8%
4,8189,40714,447
R
−17.9%
5,5358,08014,210
R
−14.7%
5,5887,87215,499
R
−0.1%
5,4055,42215,784
R
−11.1%
6,1867,77814,286
R
−31.3%
5,19310,00815,399
R
−21.4%
5,4748,74915,312
R
−2.8%
7,0957,51314,931
R
−46.0%
3,59210,33214,653
R
−20.6%
5,0148,07014,861
D
+3.4%
7,5917,09214,797
R
−24.6%
6,20510,27616,580
R
−28.3%
3,7536,73410,533
R
−36.9%
5,24211,45416,812
R
−6.8%
7,0428,10215,541
R
−12.4%
6,5778,45315,120
R
−8.7%
8,1159,68417,935
D
+12.6%
10,8058,37819,255
D
+6.0%
8,6817,65717,126
R
−62.9%
2,81812,70115,721
R
−36.8%
3,1618,52914,577
R
−21.1%
4,7337,35212,414
D
+5.5%
5,9625,29712,075
O
+20.2%
2,5391,1137,066
D
+6.9%
2,9952,5786,078
R
−38.8%
1,4563,9616,459
R
−3.3%
3,4363,6797,289
D
+8.5%
3,4102,8716,360
O
−49.3%
03,8967,909
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.4%
Irish
11.9%
American
11.7%
English
11.4%
French
2.0%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.8%
speak English only
Spanish4.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
9.5%
Methodist
9.0%
Other Christian
7.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
4.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Straddling the Oklahoma border in south-central Kansas, the Arkansas City–Winfield metro has long trended heavily Republican in federal races, with its economy historically tied to refining, wheat farming, and light manufacturing.

The Democratic margin in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS peaked at twenty points in 1912. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $57,878 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/11680/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas voted Republican by 40.1 points (R+40), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,554 votes cast, 3,919 went Democratic and 9,360 went Republican.
What is Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 26 times, and other 2 times.
When did Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas?
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas has a population of 34,411 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas?
Median household income in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas is $57,878 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.