Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+63 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 34,4112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,8782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,919 | 9,360 | 13,554 | ||
| R | 4,273 | 9,656 | 14,231 | ||
| R | 3,551 | 8,270 | 12,621 | ||
| R | 4,319 | 8,081 | 12,710 | ||
| R | 5,012 | 8,492 | 13,787 | ||
| R | 4,818 | 9,407 | 14,447 | ||
| R | 5,535 | 8,080 | 14,210 | ||
| R | 5,588 | 7,872 | 15,499 | ||
| R | 5,405 | 5,422 | 15,784 | ||
| R | 6,186 | 7,778 | 14,286 | ||
| R | 5,193 | 10,008 | 15,399 | ||
| R | 5,474 | 8,749 | 15,312 | ||
| R | 7,095 | 7,513 | 14,931 | ||
| R | 3,592 | 10,332 | 14,653 | ||
| R | 5,014 | 8,070 | 14,861 | ||
| D | 7,591 | 7,092 | 14,797 | ||
| R | 6,205 | 10,276 | 16,580 | ||
| R | 3,753 | 6,734 | 10,533 | ||
| R | 5,242 | 11,454 | 16,812 | ||
| R | 7,042 | 8,102 | 15,541 | ||
| R | 6,577 | 8,453 | 15,120 | ||
| R | 8,115 | 9,684 | 17,935 | ||
| D | 10,805 | 8,378 | 19,255 | ||
| D | 8,681 | 7,657 | 17,126 | ||
| R | 2,818 | 12,701 | 15,721 | ||
| R | 3,161 | 8,529 | 14,577 | ||
| R | 4,733 | 7,352 | 12,414 | ||
| D | 5,962 | 5,297 | 12,075 | ||
| O | 2,539 | 1,113 | 7,066 | ||
| D | 2,995 | 2,578 | 6,078 | ||
| R | 1,456 | 3,961 | 6,459 | ||
| R | 3,436 | 3,679 | 7,289 | ||
| D | 3,410 | 2,871 | 6,360 | ||
| O | 0 | 3,896 | 7,909 | ||
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Demographics
Straddling the Oklahoma border in south-central Kansas, the Arkansas City–Winfield metro has long trended heavily Republican in federal races, with its economy historically tied to refining, wheat farming, and light manufacturing.
The Democratic margin in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS peaked at twenty points in 1912. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $57,878 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/11680/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.