Batavia, NY, New York: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 57,7872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,3142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 9,367 | 18,997 | 28,444 | ||
| R | 9,625 | 18,876 | 29,217 | ||
| R | 7,650 | 16,915 | 26,432 | ||
| R | 9,601 | 14,607 | 24,746 | ||
| R | 10,762 | 15,705 | 26,873 | ||
| R | 10,331 | 16,725 | 27,580 | ||
| R | 10,191 | 14,459 | 26,074 | ||
| R | 10,074 | 10,821 | 24,238 | ||
| R | 8,071 | 11,663 | 26,225 | ||
| R | 9,945 | 14,182 | 24,332 | ||
| R | 8,549 | 16,582 | 25,210 | ||
| R | 10,677 | 11,650 | 24,489 | ||
| R | 10,803 | 14,567 | 25,536 | ||
| R | 8,631 | 17,107 | 25,811 | ||
| R | 9,533 | 12,418 | 23,150 | ||
| D | 15,713 | 8,114 | 23,841 | ||
| R | 10,343 | 14,724 | 25,085 | ||
| R | 5,986 | 17,614 | 23,600 | ||
| R | 6,819 | 16,606 | 23,443 | ||
| R | 7,024 | 12,650 | 20,142 | ||
| R | 6,796 | 13,478 | 20,324 | ||
| R | 6,664 | 14,503 | 21,229 | ||
| R | 6,177 | 13,292 | 20,069 | ||
| R | 6,152 | 11,881 | 18,335 | ||
| R | 5,181 | 13,251 | 19,195 | ||
| R | 3,384 | 11,101 | 15,542 | ||
| R | 2,570 | 9,628 | 12,923 | ||
| R | 2,802 | 5,590 | 8,682 | ||
| R | 2,656 | 3,231 | 8,264 | ||
| R | 3,171 | 5,794 | 9,306 | ||
| R | 2,883 | 5,810 | 9,094 | ||
| R | 3,267 | 5,385 | 9,002 | ||
| R | 3,004 | 5,190 | 8,439 | ||
| R | 3,250 | 4,289 | 8,249 | ||
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Demographics
Batavia anchors a compact upstate New York metro that has trended toward Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting the broader political realignment visible across deindustrialized communities in the Great Lakes region.
The Democratic margin in Batavia, NY peaked at thirty-two points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,314 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Batavia, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.