akashic
1876–2024
Batavia, NY·New York

Batavia, NY peaked at D+32; 2024 delivered R+34.

Genesee County's small metro where manufacturing heritage shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+34
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
57,787
2024 ACS

Batavia, NY, New York: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+34MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
57,7872024 5-year
Median household income
$73,3142024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.9%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+32 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−33.9%
9,36718,99728,444
R
−31.7%
9,62518,87629,217
R
−35.1%
7,65016,91526,432
R
−20.2%
9,60114,60724,746
R
−18.4%
10,76215,70526,873
R
−23.2%
10,33116,72527,580
R
−16.4%
10,19114,45926,074
R
−3.1%
10,07410,82124,238
R
−13.7%
8,07111,66326,225
R
−17.4%
9,94514,18224,332
R
−31.9%
8,54916,58225,210
R
−4.0%
10,67711,65024,489
R
−14.7%
10,80314,56725,536
R
−32.8%
8,63117,10725,811
R
−12.5%
9,53312,41823,150
D
+31.9%
15,7138,11423,841
R
−17.5%
10,34314,72425,085
R
−49.3%
5,98617,61423,600
R
−41.7%
6,81916,60623,443
R
−27.9%
7,02412,65020,142
R
−32.9%
6,79613,47820,324
R
−36.9%
6,66414,50321,229
R
−35.5%
6,17713,29220,069
R
−31.2%
6,15211,88118,335
R
−42.0%
5,18113,25119,195
R
−49.7%
3,38411,10115,542
R
−54.6%
2,5709,62812,923
R
−32.1%
2,8025,5908,682
R
−7.0%
2,6563,2318,264
R
−28.2%
3,1715,7949,306
R
−32.2%
2,8835,8109,094
R
−23.5%
3,2675,3859,002
R
−25.9%
3,0045,1908,439
R
−12.6%
3,2504,2898,249
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.7%
Irish
17.9%
English
15.2%
Italian
15.0%
Polish
9.1%
American
4.0%
French
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.2%
speak English only
Spanish2.6%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
28.4%
Methodist
5.0%
Other Christian
4.6%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Baptist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Batavia anchors a compact upstate New York metro that has trended toward Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting the broader political realignment visible across deindustrialized communities in the Great Lakes region.

The Democratic margin in Batavia, NY peaked at thirty-two points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,314 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Batavia, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/12860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Batavia, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Batavia, NY, New York voted Republican by 33.9 points (R+34), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,444 votes cast, 9,367 went Democratic and 18,997 went Republican.
What is Batavia, NY, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Batavia, NY, New York as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 33 times, and other 0 times.
When did Batavia, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Batavia, NY, New York voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Batavia, NY, New York?
Batavia, NY, New York has a population of 57,787 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Batavia, NY, New York?
Median household income in Batavia, NY, New York is $73,314 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Batavia, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Batavia, NY, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 33 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.