Bay City, TX, Texas: Republican loyalist metro. In 2024, voted R+50%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 36,3292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,6282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 43.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,231 | 9,957 | 13,327 | ||
| R | 3,733 | 9,845 | 13,727 | ||
| R | 3,500 | 8,366 | 12,196 | ||
| R | 3,980 | 8,040 | 12,133 | ||
| R | 4,440 | 7,835 | 12,373 | ||
| R | 4,355 | 8,119 | 12,521 | ||
| R | 4,696 | 7,584 | 12,459 | ||
| R | 5,374 | 5,876 | 12,494 | ||
| R | 4,759 | 5,328 | 13,165 | ||
| R | 5,675 | 6,787 | 12,566 | ||
| R | 5,201 | 8,452 | 13,694 | ||
| R | 4,585 | 5,545 | 10,382 | ||
| D | 4,971 | 3,679 | 8,731 | ||
| R | 2,473 | 5,003 | 7,495 | ||
| D | 3,595 | 3,094 | 8,466 | ||
| D | 4,143 | 2,407 | 6,555 | ||
| R | 2,971 | 2,975 | 5,998 | ||
| R | 1,904 | 3,927 | 5,909 | ||
| R | 2,101 | 4,122 | 6,224 | ||
| D | 1,628 | 1,016 | 3,299 | ||
| D | 1,854 | 412 | 3,067 | ||
| D | 2,156 | 651 | 2,813 | ||
| D | 1,700 | 459 | 2,164 | ||
| D | 2,039 | 408 | 2,461 | ||
| R | 829 | 1,194 | 2,029 | ||
| D | 1,353 | 893 | 2,374 | ||
| D | 992 | 918 | 2,091 | ||
| D | 748 | 252 | 1,091 | ||
| D | 710 | 107 | 1,111 | ||
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Demographics
Bay City, TX sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. Its political identity has been Republican for as long as anyone now living can remember. 1 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Republican candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.
The Republican margin in Bay City, TX reached its widest at fifty points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was fifty points, in line with the metro's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $58,628, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 36,329 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.
Bay City, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/13060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.