Bend, OR, Oregon: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+44 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 257,8142024 5-year
- Median household income
- $90,0452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 75,885 | 74,316 | 155,422 | ||
| D | 74,156 | 74,122 | 152,595 | ||
| R | 48,061 | 59,686 | 120,188 | ||
| R | 43,366 | 53,895 | 100,305 | ||
| R | 46,133 | 49,837 | 98,452 | ||
| R | 37,446 | 53,349 | 92,214 | ||
| R | 27,216 | 41,333 | 73,059 | ||
| R | 22,313 | 27,019 | 58,466 | ||
| D | 20,362 | 20,320 | 57,095 | ||
| R | 19,329 | 21,983 | 42,243 | ||
| R | 15,859 | 26,379 | 42,346 | ||
| R | 13,457 | 20,822 | 39,314 | ||
| D | 13,785 | 12,957 | 27,936 | ||
| R | 9,291 | 11,730 | 22,163 | ||
| R | 7,630 | 8,995 | 17,857 | ||
| D | 11,105 | 5,506 | 16,619 | ||
| R | 7,995 | 8,290 | 16,310 | ||
| R | 7,024 | 8,634 | 15,658 | ||
| R | 5,387 | 9,388 | 14,884 | ||
| D | 5,207 | 5,045 | 10,531 | ||
| D | 5,249 | 3,898 | 9,254 | ||
| D | 6,681 | 3,968 | 10,747 | ||
| D | 5,878 | 2,141 | 8,439 | ||
| D | 4,429 | 2,576 | 7,477 | ||
| R | 2,497 | 4,173 | 6,821 | ||
| R | 1,691 | 3,420 | 6,766 | ||
| R | 1,900 | 3,144 | 5,525 | ||
| D | 3,603 | 2,256 | 6,234 | ||
| D | 1,060 | 770 | 2,790 | ||
| R | 548 | 915 | 1,609 | ||
| R | 266 | 763 | 1,168 | ||
| R | 381 | 474 | 895 | ||
| R | 575 | 607 | 1,222 | ||
| D | 411 | 317 | 852 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Bend's Deschutes County shifted from reliably Republican toward competitive territory as the metro's population roughly doubled since 2000, driven by remote workers and retirees arriving from Oregon's liberal coastal cities.
The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-four points in 1936; the Republican margin reached forty-three points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 257,814, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $90,045 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.
Bend, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/13460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.