akashic
1876–2024
Bend, OR·Oregon

Bend, OR delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

High-desert boomtown where in-migration is rewriting the electoral map

18762024·38 elections
OR
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
257,814
2024 ACS

Bend, OR, Oregon: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+44 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
257,8142024 5-year
Median household income
$90,0452024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+44 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1904MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.0%
75,88574,316155,422
D
+0.0%
74,15674,122152,595
R
−9.7%
48,06159,686120,188
R
−10.5%
43,36653,895100,305
R
−3.8%
46,13349,83798,452
R
−17.2%
37,44653,34992,214
R
−19.3%
27,21641,33373,059
R
−8.0%
22,31327,01958,466
D
+0.1%
20,36220,32057,095
R
−6.3%
19,32921,98342,243
R
−24.8%
15,85926,37942,346
R
−18.7%
13,45720,82239,314
D
+3.0%
13,78512,95727,936
R
−11.0%
9,29111,73022,163
R
−7.6%
7,6308,99517,857
D
+33.7%
11,1055,50616,619
R
−1.8%
7,9958,29016,310
R
−10.3%
7,0248,63415,658
R
−26.9%
5,3879,38814,884
D
+1.5%
5,2075,04510,531
D
+14.6%
5,2493,8989,254
D
+25.2%
6,6813,96810,747
D
+44.3%
5,8782,1418,439
D
+24.8%
4,4292,5767,477
R
−24.6%
2,4974,1736,821
R
−25.6%
1,6913,4206,766
R
−22.5%
1,9003,1445,525
D
+21.6%
3,6032,2566,234
D
+10.4%
1,0607702,790
R
−22.8%
5489151,609
R
−42.6%
2667631,168
R
−10.4%
381474895
R
−2.6%
5756071,222
D
+11.0%
411317852
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.0%
English
17.2%
Irish
13.3%
Italian
4.0%
American
3.8%
Scottish
3.0%
French
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.8%
speak English only
Spanish6.3%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Baptist
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 71.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bend's Deschutes County shifted from reliably Republican toward competitive territory as the metro's population roughly doubled since 2000, driven by remote workers and retirees arriving from Oregon's liberal coastal cities.

The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-four points in 1936; the Republican margin reached forty-three points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 257,814, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $90,045 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bend, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/13460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Bend, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bend, OR, Oregon voted Democratic by 1.0 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 155,422 votes cast, 75,885 went Democratic and 74,316 went Republican.
What is Bend, OR, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Bend, OR, Oregon as a "Tossup" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Bend, OR, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bend, OR, Oregon voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Bend, OR, Oregon has a population of 257,814 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon is $90,045 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Bend, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bend, OR, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.