Birmingham, AL, Alabama: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+20%. Republican peak: R+72 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,184,6132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,4642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 28.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72 in 1964MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 213,834 | 321,600 | 543,897 | ||
| R | 235,233 | 329,032 | 572,902 | ||
| R | 196,877 | 308,383 | 516,699 | ||
| R | 200,854 | 304,622 | 509,982 | ||
| R | 209,752 | 307,963 | 522,603 | ||
| R | 171,413 | 300,469 | 475,198 | ||
| R | 173,671 | 243,751 | 425,788 | ||
| R | 163,794 | 210,672 | 393,013 | ||
| R | 170,833 | 226,448 | 435,900 | ||
| R | 141,126 | 217,946 | 361,161 | ||
| R | 136,820 | 223,718 | 362,879 | ||
| R | 152,776 | 180,057 | 349,085 | ||
| R | 143,658 | 145,440 | 294,135 | ||
| R | 68,184 | 183,185 | 258,591 | ||
| O | 61,339 | 49,599 | 267,546 | ||
| R | 0 | 132,455 | 185,153 | ||
| R | 65,641 | 78,023 | 145,271 | ||
| R | 57,757 | 60,987 | 124,640 | ||
| D | 57,173 | 44,557 | 102,257 | ||
| O | 0 | 13,575 | 57,164 | ||
| D | 44,899 | 14,339 | 59,521 | ||
| D | 55,640 | 14,222 | 70,158 | ||
| D | 53,668 | 10,154 | 64,424 | ||
| D | 45,674 | 10,723 | 57,474 | ||
| R | 28,152 | 32,712 | 61,013 | ||
| D | 25,453 | 14,673 | 44,181 | ||
| D | 40,282 | 23,510 | 65,260 | ||
| D | 18,905 | 9,000 | 28,710 | ||
| D | 15,739 | 2,782 | 25,954 | ||
| D | 13,725 | 7,564 | 22,740 | ||
| D | 13,283 | 5,099 | 20,492 | ||
| D | 10,051 | 9,508 | 20,774 | ||
| D | 18,322 | 9,728 | 29,282 | ||
| D | 18,216 | 886 | 32,014 | ||
| D | 13,683 | 7,194 | 21,036 | ||
| D | 8,096 | 5,478 | 13,688 | ||
| D | 7,416 | 2,834 | 10,487 | ||
| D | 8,530 | 3,230 | 11,760 |
Demographics
The Birmingham metro blends a majority-Black urban center with heavily Republican suburban and exurban counties, producing a persistent split-ticket dynamic that makes Jefferson County a perennial bellwether for statewide margins.
The shift began with civil rights. 1956 marked the realignment in Birmingham, AL, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-two points in 1964. The 2024 margin was twenty points.
The political shift has tracked, in Birmingham, AL, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $72,464, and a 14% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Birmingham, AL, Alabama — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/13820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.