Boise City, ID, Idaho: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+23%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 811,1152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,6292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 145,305 | 232,949 | 388,826 | ||
| R | 150,243 | 207,713 | 369,630 | ||
| R | 95,157 | 152,679 | 284,079 | ||
| R | 100,846 | 152,312 | 261,295 | ||
| R | 106,733 | 147,122 | 260,784 | ||
| R | 75,221 | 147,016 | 224,979 | ||
| R | 53,952 | 114,455 | 178,711 | ||
| R | 58,582 | 92,770 | 170,584 | ||
| R | 43,954 | 73,056 | 159,130 | ||
| R | 44,264 | 82,054 | 129,216 | ||
| R | 31,904 | 91,683 | 125,337 | ||
| R | 33,359 | 86,737 | 133,272 | ||
| R | 34,050 | 63,002 | 99,690 | ||
| R | 20,105 | 60,071 | 88,943 | ||
| R | 19,196 | 49,329 | 78,908 | ||
| R | 34,186 | 42,479 | 76,665 | ||
| R | 30,235 | 47,952 | 78,187 | ||
| R | 21,734 | 46,353 | 68,087 | ||
| R | 19,714 | 49,516 | 69,332 | ||
| R | 22,284 | 27,663 | 51,371 | ||
| R | 21,227 | 25,435 | 47,021 | ||
| D | 25,523 | 24,619 | 50,275 | ||
| D | 24,671 | 14,238 | 41,607 | ||
| D | 19,421 | 14,943 | 36,506 | ||
| R | 7,676 | 20,667 | 28,654 | ||
| R | 4,107 | 13,064 | 28,244 | ||
| R | 9,268 | 17,015 | 26,312 | ||
| D | 12,498 | 10,870 | 25,128 | ||
| O | 6,311 | 6,206 | 22,011 | ||
| R | 8,016 | 10,290 | 19,691 | ||
| R | 3,523 | 9,424 | 14,367 | ||
| R | 5,122 | 5,335 | 10,846 | ||
| D | 4,711 | 1,477 | 6,242 | ||
| O | 0 | 1,884 | 4,395 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Boise's rapid in-migration from California and the Pacific Northwest has introduced new demographic layers to a metro that still votes Republican by double digits, making it a bellwether for how growth reshapes reliably conservative Western cities.
The Democratic margin in Boise City, ID has rarely exceeded fifty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by twenty-three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,629 — all within the broad national range.
Boise City, ID, Idaho — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/14260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.