akashic
1876–2024
Bradford, PA·Pennsylvania

Bradford, PA was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Shrinking north-central PA metro where energy jobs shape the ballot

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+47
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
39,904
2024 ACS

Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+47%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+47MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
39,9042024 5-year
Median household income
$62,9052024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
92.9%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+16 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1924MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−47.0%
5,11514,40119,750
R
−46.2%
5,09814,08319,466
R
−46.2%
4,02511,63516,464
R
−28.0%
5,2979,54515,154
R
−17.3%
6,4659,22415,947
R
−26.7%
6,29410,94117,426
R
−26.3%
5,5109,66115,806
R
−8.9%
5,5096,83814,869
R
−10.0%
5,3316,96516,400
R
−27.3%
5,3009,32314,747
R
−38.8%
4,81810,96315,839
R
−27.5%
5,0649,22915,166
R
−22.9%
6,42410,30516,926
R
−44.7%
4,51311,95816,673
R
−23.7%
6,32610,50617,607
D
+15.8%
10,9507,94819,007
R
−27.5%
7,76713,69921,532
R
−48.0%
5,15214,72519,950
R
−47.6%
5,37315,25620,776
R
−35.6%
4,78510,21815,272
R
−29.5%
6,49211,98818,601
R
−35.7%
6,99114,82221,932
R
−9.5%
9,73311,83722,181
R
−34.6%
4,6619,97015,335
R
−47.5%
4,96414,01219,066
R
−50.9%
2,3769,07213,149
R
−46.7%
2,5057,83011,406
R
−13.7%
3,1614,3008,299
O
+12.7%
2,3621,3458,001
R
−25.2%
2,8675,0738,745
R
−48.2%
1,6365,7198,475
R
−28.1%
3,4276,31910,293
R
−23.5%
3,0745,0778,520
R
−10.4%
2,8433,5947,187
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.5%
Irish
14.3%
English
11.7%
Italian
9.6%
American
7.4%
Polish
3.0%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.7%
speak English only
Spanish1.0%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
11.2%
Methodist
9.0%
Other Christian
6.6%
Mainline Protestant
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Baptist
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bradford's McKean County economy has long leaned on oil and gas — the region sits atop one of the oldest petroleum-producing fields in the country — and that industrial identity consistently produces lopsided margins in federal contests.

The Democratic margin in Bradford, PA peaked at sixteen points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,905 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/14620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 47.0 points (R+47), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,750 votes cast, 5,115 went Democratic and 14,401 went Republican.
What is Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 32 times, and other 1 times.
When did Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania?
Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 39,904 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania is $62,905 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.