Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+47%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 39,9042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,9052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,115 | 14,401 | 19,750 | ||
| R | 5,098 | 14,083 | 19,466 | ||
| R | 4,025 | 11,635 | 16,464 | ||
| R | 5,297 | 9,545 | 15,154 | ||
| R | 6,465 | 9,224 | 15,947 | ||
| R | 6,294 | 10,941 | 17,426 | ||
| R | 5,510 | 9,661 | 15,806 | ||
| R | 5,509 | 6,838 | 14,869 | ||
| R | 5,331 | 6,965 | 16,400 | ||
| R | 5,300 | 9,323 | 14,747 | ||
| R | 4,818 | 10,963 | 15,839 | ||
| R | 5,064 | 9,229 | 15,166 | ||
| R | 6,424 | 10,305 | 16,926 | ||
| R | 4,513 | 11,958 | 16,673 | ||
| R | 6,326 | 10,506 | 17,607 | ||
| D | 10,950 | 7,948 | 19,007 | ||
| R | 7,767 | 13,699 | 21,532 | ||
| R | 5,152 | 14,725 | 19,950 | ||
| R | 5,373 | 15,256 | 20,776 | ||
| R | 4,785 | 10,218 | 15,272 | ||
| R | 6,492 | 11,988 | 18,601 | ||
| R | 6,991 | 14,822 | 21,932 | ||
| R | 9,733 | 11,837 | 22,181 | ||
| R | 4,661 | 9,970 | 15,335 | ||
| R | 4,964 | 14,012 | 19,066 | ||
| R | 2,376 | 9,072 | 13,149 | ||
| R | 2,505 | 7,830 | 11,406 | ||
| R | 3,161 | 4,300 | 8,299 | ||
| O | 2,362 | 1,345 | 8,001 | ||
| R | 2,867 | 5,073 | 8,745 | ||
| R | 1,636 | 5,719 | 8,475 | ||
| R | 3,427 | 6,319 | 10,293 | ||
| R | 3,074 | 5,077 | 8,520 | ||
| R | 2,843 | 3,594 | 7,187 | ||
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Demographics
Bradford's McKean County economy has long leaned on oil and gas — the region sits atop one of the oldest petroleum-producing fields in the country — and that industrial identity consistently produces lopsided margins in federal contests.
The Democratic margin in Bradford, PA peaked at sixteen points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,905 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Bradford, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/14620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.