akashic
1876–2024
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX·Texas

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX has voted Democratic for as long as anyone now living can remember.

A majority-Hispanic border metro where margins shifted sharply in 2020

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+6
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
426,120
2024 ACS

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas: Democratic loyalist metro. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
426,1202024 5-year
Median household income
$52,6012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
35.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
89.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+82 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1952MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−5.8%
54,25860,991116,309
D
+13.1%
64,06349,032114,326
D
+32.3%
59,40229,47292,665
D
+31.1%
49,97526,09976,895
D
+28.8%
48,48026,67175,657
R
−1.2%
33,99834,80169,156
D
+8.7%
33,21427,80062,057
D
+29.1%
34,89118,43456,493
D
+15.8%
29,43520,12359,057
D
+12.1%
30,97224,26355,552
R
−5.6%
26,39429,54556,126
D
+2.5%
23,20022,04146,285
D
+21.0%
25,31016,44842,111
R
−21.8%
13,34020,81634,300
D
+13.4%
15,72611,75929,527
D
+25.4%
16,0569,53125,659
D
+9.8%
12,41610,19022,640
R
−14.9%
8,82911,95221,022
R
−29.9%
7,55914,01821,602
D
+17.6%
6,7784,68911,859
D
+5.8%
5,9985,30911,846
D
+28.3%
6,0353,3709,433
D
+45.4%
5,8872,1608,206
D
+59.7%
7,1461,7858,985
R
−5.1%
3,2023,5446,757
D
+26.2%
2,2251,2663,667
D
+0.6%
9209091,846
D
+49.0%
1,2604201,716
D
+82.2%
2,1461492,429
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
2.3%
English
2.2%
American
2.1%
Irish
1.3%
Italian
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 32.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.0%
2.0%
75–84
2.6%
3.7%
65–74
4.4%
4.5%
55–64
5.3%
5.5%
45–54
6.0%
5.9%
35–44
5.8%
6.7%
25–34
6.3%
5.7%
18–24
5.2%
11.1%
5–17
10.5%
3.6%
<5
3.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$52,601
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX$52,601
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
24.8%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1835.6%
Working age (18–64)20.0%
Seniors (65+)26.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
27.8%
speak English only
Spanish71.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
36.8%
Other Christian
12.1%
Baptist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by the Rio Grande and Cameron County, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and delivered a notably closer presidential result in 2020 than in prior cycles, drawing national attention to South Texas voting patterns.

The Democratic margin in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX reached its widest at eighty-two points in 1912. The margin in 2024 was six points — a notable narrowing.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $52,601, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 426,120 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/15180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,309 votes cast, 54,258 went Democratic and 60,991 went Republican.
What is Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas as a "Democratic loyalist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 7 times, and other 0 times.
When did Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas has a population of 426,120 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas is $52,601 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Brownsville-Harlingen, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.