akashic
1876–2024
Burlington, IA-IL·Iowa

Burlington, IA-IL peaked at D+35; 2024 delivered R+19.

A Mississippi River crossing where Iowa and Illinois margins routinely diverge

1876 — 2024·38 elections
IA
Latest
R+19
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
44,680
2024 ACS

Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
44,6802024 5-year
Median household income
$62,8312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.7%2024 5-year
Black
4.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.7%
8,96113,16322,518
R
−12.3%
10,08012,98623,612
R
−10.2%
9,36711,68422,789
D
+17.5%
13,8669,67723,953
D
+22.2%
14,6779,26224,384
D
+18.6%
14,72510,07825,027
D
+18.5%
13,3819,09323,231
D
+25.7%
12,7147,01122,193
D
+22.3%
13,3227,68825,238
D
+18.5%
13,6789,37823,195
D
+5.1%
13,14211,84825,128
R
−0.1%
11,58611,60124,663
D
+8.8%
13,42011,23324,943
R
−9.6%
10,61312,90523,794
D
+4.7%
11,79910,67624,127
D
+35.5%
16,1657,69323,896
R
−6.8%
11,56913,25024,864
R
−15.1%
10,25013,89524,173
R
−19.3%
10,14415,02125,260
D
+1.5%
10,2579,95720,567
R
−14.4%
9,09312,18321,432
R
−24.9%
8,55514,25222,906
D
+0.4%
9,5079,42620,925
D
+21.9%
11,7677,40519,941
R
−32.8%
6,64313,24220,092
R
−39.7%
3,41910,87418,761
R
−41.3%
4,18911,03416,581
R
−9.7%
5,4386,66012,663
D
+10.6%
3,8902,78410,392
R
−8.2%
4,7955,70010,975
R
−22.3%
3,7516,16410,839
R
−10.6%
4,8856,08711,367
R
−14.1%
4,7036,30511,370
D
+7.0%
5,4474,71310,413
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
28.5%
Irish
12.8%
English
10.6%
American
6.8%
French
2.1%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.5%
85+
1.8%
2.4%
75–84
3.5%
6.5%
65–74
6.4%
6.8%
55–64
7.3%
5.5%
45–54
5.9%
5.8%
35–44
5.9%
5.8%
25–34
5.7%
3.7%
18–24
3.6%
8.3%
5–17
7.6%
3.1%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,831
Burlington, IA-IL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Burlington, IA-IL$62,831
Iowa$75,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.6%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)10.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.2%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
8.9%
Mainline Protestant
8.1%
Methodist
6.4%
Other Christian
4.5%
Non-Christian
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Burlington metro straddles the Iowa-Illinois state line, and its two sides have historically split their presidential-level votes by several points, making cross-river comparison a useful stress test for regional partisan models.

The Democratic margin in Burlington, IA-IL peaked at thirty-five points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nineteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,831 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/15460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa voted Republican by 18.7 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,518 votes cast, 8,961 went Democratic and 13,163 went Republican.
What is Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa?
Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa has a population of 44,680 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa?
Median household income in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa is $62,831 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Burlington, IA-IL, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.