akashic
1876–2024
Canton-Massillon, OH·Ohio

Canton-Massillon, OH was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Stark County's steel-belt legacy still shapes its swing-county politics

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+24
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
400,372
2024 ACS

Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+24MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
400,3722024 5-year
Median household income
$67,7282024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.2%2024 5-year
Black
6.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+24 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−24.2%
74,161122,112198,046
R
−20.9%
79,155121,842204,091
R
−18.9%
71,300107,642191,973
R
−0.5%
94,97595,896196,582
D
+4.7%
103,41393,840201,995
D
+0.9%
101,63799,910202,571
R
−2.7%
80,26884,885172,105
D
+8.0%
78,22964,661170,136
D
+4.6%
74,79566,087187,555
R
−11.2%
74,30693,266169,090
R
−20.6%
68,928105,137175,500
R
−18.6%
62,48193,575166,957
R
−1.7%
75,01877,698156,034
R
−28.1%
54,32098,094155,824
R
−8.1%
60,79473,048151,734
D
+24.1%
93,75457,287151,041
R
−11.5%
70,69388,976159,669
R
−26.5%
52,03589,583141,618
R
−16.2%
58,16580,636138,801
R
−4.9%
50,52955,765107,463
D
+3.3%
60,30056,404116,704
D
+10.1%
63,08551,544114,629
D
+21.5%
61,73239,133104,949
R
−7.6%
38,55945,15987,164
R
−43.9%
25,16165,13691,012
R
−44.8%
13,97445,22769,735
R
−32.9%
20,19241,87565,866
D
+2.1%
16,98816,24535,188
O
+13.4%
11,2017,12930,451
R
−8.6%
13,87616,62932,193
R
−36.3%
8,19718,39028,118
R
−12.0%
12,37115,83328,803
R
−5.2%
13,29414,77928,360
D
+1.7%
11,90411,49224,797
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.8%
Irish
13.0%
English
11.4%
Italian
9.1%
American
5.3%
Polish
2.5%
French
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.4%
Spanish1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
20.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.2%
Mainline Protestant
4.8%
Methodist
4.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Baptist
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Canton-Massillon anchors Stark County, one of Ohio's most-watched bellwether jurisdictions, where deindustrialized working-class precincts and suburban growth corridors have produced razor-thin margins in nearly every recent statewide contest.

The Democratic margin in Canton-Massillon, OH peaked at twenty-four points in 1964. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,728 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/15940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 24.2 points (R+24), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 198,046 votes cast, 74,161 went Democratic and 122,112 went Republican.
What is Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio?
Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio has a population of 400,372 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio is $67,728 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.