Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 400,3722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,7282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 74,161 | 122,112 | 198,046 | ||
| R | 79,155 | 121,842 | 204,091 | ||
| R | 71,300 | 107,642 | 191,973 | ||
| R | 94,975 | 95,896 | 196,582 | ||
| D | 103,413 | 93,840 | 201,995 | ||
| D | 101,637 | 99,910 | 202,571 | ||
| R | 80,268 | 84,885 | 172,105 | ||
| D | 78,229 | 64,661 | 170,136 | ||
| D | 74,795 | 66,087 | 187,555 | ||
| R | 74,306 | 93,266 | 169,090 | ||
| R | 68,928 | 105,137 | 175,500 | ||
| R | 62,481 | 93,575 | 166,957 | ||
| R | 75,018 | 77,698 | 156,034 | ||
| R | 54,320 | 98,094 | 155,824 | ||
| R | 60,794 | 73,048 | 151,734 | ||
| D | 93,754 | 57,287 | 151,041 | ||
| R | 70,693 | 88,976 | 159,669 | ||
| R | 52,035 | 89,583 | 141,618 | ||
| R | 58,165 | 80,636 | 138,801 | ||
| R | 50,529 | 55,765 | 107,463 | ||
| D | 60,300 | 56,404 | 116,704 | ||
| D | 63,085 | 51,544 | 114,629 | ||
| D | 61,732 | 39,133 | 104,949 | ||
| R | 38,559 | 45,159 | 87,164 | ||
| R | 25,161 | 65,136 | 91,012 | ||
| R | 13,974 | 45,227 | 69,735 | ||
| R | 20,192 | 41,875 | 65,866 | ||
| D | 16,988 | 16,245 | 35,188 | ||
| O | 11,201 | 7,129 | 30,451 | ||
| R | 13,876 | 16,629 | 32,193 | ||
| R | 8,197 | 18,390 | 28,118 | ||
| R | 12,371 | 15,833 | 28,803 | ||
| R | 13,294 | 14,779 | 28,360 | ||
| D | 11,904 | 11,492 | 24,797 | ||
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Demographics
Canton-Massillon anchors Stark County, one of Ohio's most-watched bellwether jurisdictions, where deindustrialized working-class precincts and suburban growth corridors have produced razor-thin margins in nearly every recent statewide contest.
The Democratic margin in Canton-Massillon, OH peaked at twenty-four points in 1964. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,728 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Canton-Massillon, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/15940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.