Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 817,6662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,1072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, FLOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 139,169 | 250,648 | 392,448 | ||
| R | 157,695 | 233,247 | 393,899 | ||
| R | 124,908 | 191,551 | 326,420 | ||
| R | 110,157 | 154,163 | 266,166 | ||
| R | 119,701 | 147,608 | 269,276 | ||
| R | 93,860 | 144,176 | 240,667 | ||
| R | 73,571 | 106,151 | 184,400 | ||
| R | 65,699 | 80,898 | 165,951 | ||
| R | 53,660 | 73,436 | 166,002 | ||
| R | 40,725 | 87,303 | 128,936 | ||
| R | 30,022 | 85,024 | 115,076 | ||
| R | 28,125 | 61,033 | 94,613 | ||
| R | 30,567 | 38,038 | 69,789 | ||
| R | 9,404 | 36,738 | 46,235 | ||
| R | 7,978 | 14,376 | 31,095 | ||
| R | 10,204 | 12,886 | 23,090 | ||
| R | 5,494 | 10,357 | 15,851 | ||
| R | 4,520 | 7,565 | 12,085 | ||
| R | 3,828 | 5,528 | 9,356 | ||
| R | 1,883 | 2,276 | 5,797 | ||
| D | 3,353 | 1,865 | 5,218 | ||
| D | 3,531 | 1,622 | 5,153 | ||
| D | 2,549 | 1,137 | 3,686 | ||
| D | 2,557 | 973 | 3,530 | ||
| R | 1,154 | 2,058 | 3,258 | ||
| D | 845 | 552 | 1,622 | ||
| D | 938 | 626 | 1,694 | ||
| D | 751 | 167 | 1,132 | ||
| D | 432 | 38 | 714 | ||
| D | 266 | 72 | 533 | ||
| D | 266 | 84 | 493 | ||
| D | 278 | 39 | 342 | ||
| D | 222 | 74 | 312 | ||
| D | 153 | 0 | 159 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.0%
Irish
10.8%
American
9.7%
English
9.4%
Italian
7.4%
Polish
3.1%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 49.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,107
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL$76,107
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.9%
Working age (18–64)11.0%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.2%
speak English only
Spanish19.8%
Other Indo-European4.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers has been one of Florida's fastest-expanding metros, with heavy in-migration of retirees from the Midwest and Northeast steadily recomposing its voter base and pushing registration numbers well ahead of housing-boom projections.
The Democratic margin in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL peaked at ninety-six points in 1892. By 1948 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $76,107 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/15980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida voted Republican by 28.4 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 392,448 votes cast, 139,169 went Democratic and 250,648 went Republican.
What is Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1944.
How many people live in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida?
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida has a population of 817,666 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida is $76,107 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.