akashic
1876–2024
Celina, OH·Ohio

Celina, OH peaked at D+43; 2024 delivered R+67.

Fast-growing exurb where Mercer County's farm roots meet new suburban sprawl

1876 — 2024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+67
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
42,484
2024 ACS

Celina, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+67%. Republican peak: R+67 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+67MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
42,4842024 5-year
Median household income
$76,7822024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.9%2024 5-year
Black
1.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+43 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+67 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−66.5%
3,86519,71023,826
R
−64.9%
4,03019,45223,761
R
−64.0%
3,38417,50622,053
R
−54.2%
4,74516,56121,818
R
−43.4%
5,85315,10021,299
R
−50.4%
5,11815,65020,890
R
−39.8%
5,21212,48518,294
R
−14.3%
6,3008,83217,653
R
−20.5%
4,8838,68318,545
R
−38.0%
4,97811,16216,286
R
−44.1%
4,42211,54216,144
R
−20.6%
5,5068,67315,339
R
−6.4%
6,7247,67814,849
R
−18.7%
5,7988,58714,907
D
+3.4%
6,8016,31314,209
D
+39.5%
10,0814,37314,454
R
−0.0%
7,7307,73515,465
R
−37.8%
4,2729,45613,728
R
−31.4%
4,7259,05813,783
D
+5.9%
5,9285,26611,202
R
−26.1%
4,5227,71212,234
R
−21.4%
5,1147,90513,019
D
+27.4%
7,2173,60213,204
D
+43.2%
8,4623,31411,929
D
+9.1%
6,1555,12911,326
D
+8.8%
5,1354,21510,434
R
−12.7%
4,4045,69210,140
D
+28.5%
3,8032,0656,107
D
+39.9%
3,5911,3245,683
D
+34.3%
4,4562,1486,729
D
+19.8%
3,2862,1735,615
D
+37.2%
4,4602,0156,566
D
+41.0%
4,7901,9916,827
D
+36.6%
3,6881,5265,900
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
53.8%
Irish
8.5%
American
7.3%
English
5.6%
French
2.3%
Italian
1.3%
Scottish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.6%
2.4%
75–84
2.8%
5.7%
65–74
5.7%
6.6%
55–64
6.5%
5.8%
45–54
5.7%
5.8%
35–44
5.4%
6.0%
25–34
5.6%
4.3%
18–24
3.8%
9.5%
5–17
8.8%
3.7%
<5
3.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,782
Celina, OH ranks near the middle of US counties.
Celina, OH$76,782
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.1%
Working age (18–64)7.6%
Seniors (65+)5.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
52.3%
Other Christian
13.1%
Mainline Protestant
5.1%
Methodist
4.7%
Baptist
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 22.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Celina anchors a small metro that has seen steady population growth driven by manufacturing employment and spillover from Dayton's outer ring, keeping its electorate heavily rural-inflected despite new residential development.

The Democratic margin in Celina, OH peaked at forty-three points in 1932. By 1972 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $76,782 sits well below state and national norms, and 7% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Celina, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Celina, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Celina, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 66.5 points (R+67), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,826 votes cast, 3,865 went Democratic and 19,710 went Republican.
What is Celina, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Celina, OH, Ohio as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Celina, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Celina, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1968.
How many people live in Celina, OH, Ohio?
Celina, OH, Ohio has a population of 42,484 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Celina, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Celina, OH, Ohio is $76,782 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Celina, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Celina, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.