Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC, North Carolina: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+63 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,768,4072024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,3702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 692,914 | 711,830 | 1,429,108 | ||
| D | 680,904 | 675,531 | 1,377,654 | ||
| R | 517,471 | 566,456 | 1,133,278 | ||
| R | 497,965 | 541,223 | 1,052,146 | ||
| R | 474,490 | 494,098 | 977,153 | ||
| R | 312,153 | 443,322 | 759,050 | ||
| D | 349,263 | 271,333 | 626,478 | ||
| R | 218,766 | 263,177 | 518,561 | ||
| R | 211,087 | 258,598 | 548,168 | ||
| R | 161,303 | 274,488 | 437,190 | ||
| R | 143,146 | 285,354 | 429,501 | ||
| R | 167,862 | 182,926 | 364,297 | ||
| D | 179,242 | 152,410 | 333,227 | ||
| R | 81,811 | 211,950 | 298,884 | ||
| R | 81,885 | 142,340 | 309,290 | ||
| D | 143,719 | 131,360 | 275,083 | ||
| R | 126,809 | 137,513 | 264,322 | ||
| R | 97,121 | 123,541 | 223,224 | ||
| R | 112,116 | 130,882 | 242,998 | ||
| D | 53,310 | 37,220 | 118,138 | ||
| D | 86,777 | 35,947 | 122,986 | ||
| D | 105,432 | 26,036 | 131,470 | ||
| D | 105,630 | 24,912 | 130,622 | ||
| D | 81,024 | 26,124 | 108,042 | ||
| R | 43,446 | 50,335 | 93,787 | ||
| D | 42,303 | 20,379 | 64,425 | ||
| D | 50,897 | 28,681 | 79,578 | ||
| D | 26,225 | 12,919 | 39,200 | ||
| D | 21,934 | 1,855 | 31,667 | ||
| D | 22,236 | 11,724 | 34,099 | ||
| D | 18,231 | 7,072 | 25,516 | ||
| D | 20,057 | 11,368 | 32,004 | ||
| D | 26,328 | 13,497 | 40,185 | ||
| D | 21,000 | 9,096 | 35,243 | ||
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Demographics
Charlotte's core county has trended sharply toward Democrats over the past decade as in-migration of college-educated professionals accelerates, while surrounding exurban counties in both Carolinas continue to offset that shift with strong Republican margins.
The Democratic margin in Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC has rarely exceeded sixty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-four points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by one points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $84,370 — all within the broad national range.
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.