Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+29%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 575,8122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,4392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 94,238 | 173,921 | 271,729 | ||
| R | 93,959 | 162,281 | 261,002 | ||
| R | 69,152 | 135,747 | 216,644 | ||
| R | 76,328 | 128,322 | 209,137 | ||
| R | 84,201 | 132,089 | 218,840 | ||
| R | 78,452 | 123,474 | 203,509 | ||
| R | 72,236 | 101,117 | 176,181 | ||
| R | 68,465 | 79,111 | 160,325 | ||
| R | 66,929 | 76,398 | 165,735 | ||
| R | 55,822 | 96,522 | 153,087 | ||
| R | 55,868 | 97,140 | 153,626 | ||
| R | 61,510 | 78,153 | 142,915 | ||
| D | 67,986 | 61,993 | 131,189 | ||
| R | 25,831 | 80,324 | 110,105 | ||
| O | 28,764 | 38,244 | 120,519 | ||
| R | 53,086 | 55,192 | 108,295 | ||
| R | 42,159 | 50,073 | 93,430 | ||
| R | 38,646 | 43,648 | 84,514 | ||
| R | 35,541 | 37,366 | 73,256 | ||
| D | 26,386 | 14,178 | 44,488 | ||
| D | 26,193 | 13,886 | 40,453 | ||
| D | 26,609 | 13,288 | 40,011 | ||
| D | 24,260 | 9,843 | 34,221 | ||
| D | 18,468 | 9,416 | 28,326 | ||
| R | 10,802 | 17,920 | 28,825 | ||
| D | 11,885 | 10,981 | 23,963 | ||
| R | 14,225 | 15,180 | 29,786 | ||
| D | 10,671 | 7,469 | 18,996 | ||
| D | 7,060 | 2,560 | 14,014 | ||
| R | 7,316 | 7,391 | 15,117 | ||
| R | 5,952 | 6,415 | 12,969 | ||
| R | 6,466 | 7,125 | 14,068 | ||
| R | 7,689 | 7,997 | 16,112 | ||
| D | 7,827 | 5,782 | 14,469 | ||
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Demographics
Chattanooga's metro spans two states and has trended increasingly Republican at the federal level over the past two decades, even as in-migration and downtown revitalization have introduced a younger, more diverse electorate into Hamilton County's core.
The Democratic margin in Chattanooga, TN-GA has rarely exceeded forty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by twenty-nine points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,439 — all within the broad national range.
Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.