akashic
1876–2024
Chattanooga, TN-GA·Georgia

Chattanooga, TN-GA delivered R+29 in 2024.

A Tennessee River anchor where suburban growth is reshaping longtime margins

18762024·38 elections
GA
Latest
R+29
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
575,812
2024 ACS

Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+29%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+29MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
575,8122024 5-year
Median household income
$72,4392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.0%2024 5-year
Black
11.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+42 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−29.3%
94,238173,921271,729
R
−26.2%
93,959162,281261,002
R
−30.7%
69,152135,747216,644
R
−24.9%
76,328128,322209,137
R
−21.9%
84,201132,089218,840
R
−22.1%
78,452123,474203,509
R
−16.4%
72,236101,117176,181
R
−6.6%
68,46579,111160,325
R
−5.7%
66,92976,398165,735
R
−26.6%
55,82296,522153,087
R
−26.9%
55,86897,140153,626
R
−11.6%
61,51078,153142,915
D
+4.6%
67,98661,993131,189
R
−49.5%
25,83180,324110,105
O
−7.9%
28,76438,244120,519
R
−1.9%
53,08655,192108,295
R
−8.5%
42,15950,07393,430
R
−5.9%
38,64643,64884,514
R
−2.5%
35,54137,36673,256
D
+27.4%
26,38614,17844,488
D
+30.4%
26,19313,88640,453
D
+33.3%
26,60913,28840,011
D
+42.1%
24,2609,84334,221
D
+32.0%
18,4689,41628,326
R
−24.7%
10,80217,92028,825
D
+3.8%
11,88510,98123,963
R
−3.2%
14,22515,18029,786
D
+16.9%
10,6717,46918,996
D
+32.1%
7,0602,56014,014
R
−0.5%
7,3167,39115,117
R
−3.6%
5,9526,41512,969
R
−4.7%
6,4667,12514,068
R
−1.9%
7,6897,99716,112
D
+14.1%
7,8275,78214,469
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.3%
Irish
11.4%
American
9.9%
German
9.8%
Scottish
2.9%
Italian
2.4%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.6%
speak English only
Spanish4.6%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
22.3%
Other Christian
14.3%
Methodist
6.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
3.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.5%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Chattanooga's metro spans two states and has trended increasingly Republican at the federal level over the past two decades, even as in-migration and downtown revitalization have introduced a younger, more diverse electorate into Hamilton County's core.

The Democratic margin in Chattanooga, TN-GA has rarely exceeded forty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by twenty-nine points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,439 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/16860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia voted Republican by 29.3 points (R+29), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 271,729 votes cast, 94,238 went Democratic and 173,921 went Republican.
What is Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia?
Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia has a population of 575,812 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia?
Median household income in Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia is $72,439 — below the national median of $80,734. The Georgia state median is $77,353.
What is the political history of Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Chattanooga, TN-GA, Georgia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.