Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+36 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+16MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 2,270,7062024 5-year
Median household income: $82,0442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 76.8%2024 5-year
Black: 11.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+18 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+36 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

15 counties · 1 D · 14 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−15.7%	470,491	649,601	1,138,579
2020	R	−13.8%	486,366	644,607	1,149,671
2016	R	−17.6%	405,121	593,384	1,066,652
2012	R	−15.8%	425,903	590,325	1,038,212
2008	R	−13.6%	441,492	582,594	1,037,648
2004	R	−23.2%	382,290	614,886	1,002,068
2000	R	−23.1%	310,134	503,817	837,947
1996	R	−13.5%	305,498	411,123	780,921
1992	R	−15.0%	273,071	395,359	817,785
1988	R	−29.8%	249,800	464,113	719,026
1984	R	−34.8%	235,029	488,671	727,888
1980	R	−22.8%	240,176	393,006	671,747
1976	R	−15.9%	259,323	359,176	629,236
1972	R	−35.5%	193,925	414,746	621,278
1968	R	−13.8%	217,355	302,517	617,451
1964	D	+12.8%	342,786	264,957	607,940
1960	R	−11.5%	287,419	361,783	649,242
1956	R	−27.8%	203,030	359,831	563,417
1952	R	−15.0%	245,324	331,657	577,195
1948	D	+0.1%	230,877	230,386	464,940
1944	R	−1.1%	239,061	244,173	483,512
1940	D	+1.6%	256,507	248,184	504,978
1936	D	+18.4%	267,205	179,753	476,484
1932	D	+8.5%	232,571	195,189	439,307
1928	R	−17.2%	184,853	262,207	448,754
1924	R	−30.4%	89,060	194,671	347,339
1920	R	−7.5%	159,261	186,030	356,891
1916	D	+3.4%	106,012	98,819	212,469
1912	D	+11.5%	84,928	62,841	192,271
1908	R	−4.2%	95,960	104,724	207,907
1904	R	−21.7%	65,567	105,338	183,354
1900	R	−3.1%	88,702	94,527	186,791
1896	R	−6.7%	85,746	98,076	185,295
1892	D	+5.0%	80,748	72,811	158,331
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

25.6%

Irish

12.9%

English

12.0%

American

5.6%

Italian

3.9%

Scottish

1.3%

Polish

1.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.6%

85+

1.1%

2.0%

75–84

2.7%

4.8%

65–74

5.3%

6.4%

55–64

6.6%

5.9%

45–54

6.0%

6.5%

35–44

6.5%

6.7%

25–34

6.6%

4.7%

18–24

4.5%

8.8%

5–17

8.4%

3.0%

2.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$82,044

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN ranks near the middle of US counties.

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN$82,044

Kentucky$71,957

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.8%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.5%

Working age (18–64)10.9%

Seniors (65+)10.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

92.4%

speak English only

Spanish2.9%

Other Indo-European2.3%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%

Other languages0.8%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

19.7%

Catholic & Orthodox

17.3%

Baptist

5.7%

Mainline Protestant

2.3%

Methodist

2.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.1%

Non-Christian

2.0%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Cincinnati's core county has shifted between parties in presidential cycles while the surrounding Indiana and Kentucky exurbs trend reliably conservative, making the metro's aggregate margin a reliable stress-test for statewide coalitions.

The Democratic margin in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN has rarely exceeded eighteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-six points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by sixteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $82,044 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky voted Republican by 15.7 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,138,579 votes cast, 470,491 went Democratic and 649,601 went Republican.

What is Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.

When did Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky has a population of 2,270,706 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?

Median household income in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky is $82,044 — above the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $71,957.

What is the political history of Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN delivered R+16 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions