Clarksville, TN-KY, Kentucky: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+26%. Democratic peak: D+50 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 334,5642024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,0812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 42,618 | 72,952 | 117,470 | ||
| R | 43,791 | 67,704 | 114,293 | ||
| R | 31,696 | 55,244 | 91,753 | ||
| R | 36,935 | 51,203 | 89,532 | ||
| R | 39,312 | 51,019 | 91,330 | ||
| R | 31,946 | 49,260 | 81,707 | ||
| R | 30,576 | 35,387 | 66,943 | ||
| D | 28,390 | 26,699 | 59,059 | ||
| D | 26,433 | 23,614 | 56,807 | ||
| R | 18,819 | 25,578 | 44,594 | ||
| R | 19,450 | 27,733 | 47,500 | ||
| D | 23,514 | 19,610 | 44,133 | ||
| D | 25,324 | 12,388 | 38,079 | ||
| R | 12,366 | 17,810 | 30,876 | ||
| O | 12,190 | 8,579 | 33,200 | ||
| D | 24,139 | 8,049 | 32,221 | ||
| D | 18,730 | 9,840 | 28,692 | ||
| D | 19,158 | 9,630 | 28,980 | ||
| D | 17,301 | 9,206 | 26,579 | ||
| D | 13,339 | 5,035 | 19,801 | ||
| D | 13,658 | 6,875 | 20,595 | ||
| D | 15,339 | 8,253 | 23,647 | ||
| D | 14,620 | 8,032 | 22,706 | ||
| D | 15,524 | 7,670 | 23,288 | ||
| R | 10,854 | 11,559 | 22,419 | ||
| D | 12,525 | 10,527 | 23,293 | ||
| D | 15,195 | 13,792 | 29,233 | ||
| D | 9,053 | 7,709 | 17,024 | ||
| D | 6,997 | 5,841 | 14,518 | ||
| D | 9,236 | 8,587 | 18,126 | ||
| D | 6,878 | 6,679 | 13,978 | ||
| D | 8,622 | 8,536 | 17,635 | ||
| R | 9,224 | 9,402 | 19,190 | ||
| D | 7,068 | 5,996 | 15,572 | ||
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Demographics
The Clarksville metro's outsized military presence drives unusually high population turnover, compressing long-term partisan loyalty and making registration patterns a lagging indicator of actual voting-age composition.
The Democratic margin in Clarksville, TN-KY has rarely exceeded fifty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-six points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by twenty-six points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $70,081 — all within the broad national range.
Clarksville, TN-KY, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.