akashic
1876–2024
Clinton, IA·Iowa

Clinton, IA was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A small Iowa metro where manufacturing employment shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
IA
Latest
R+19
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
46,268
2024 ACS

Clinton, IA, Iowa: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
46,2682024 5-year
Median household income
$66,9812024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
89.5%2024 5-year
Black
3.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+27 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.8%
9,47213,96423,878
R
−10.3%
10,81213,36124,687
R
−5.1%
10,09511,27623,347
D
+22.8%
15,1419,43225,000
D
+23.0%
15,0189,32424,719
D
+12.7%
13,81310,66624,684
D
+13.7%
12,2769,22922,180
D
+17.9%
11,4817,62421,595
D
+11.8%
11,6838,74624,960
D
+10.0%
12,54910,24323,002
R
−10.5%
11,24013,91425,404
R
−13.2%
9,69813,02525,211
R
−2.7%
11,74612,40124,534
R
−12.5%
9,89512,76822,964
R
−9.0%
9,51511,51322,175
D
+26.8%
14,2678,21922,533
R
−13.5%
10,50813,79724,330
R
−27.5%
8,39414,76523,208
R
−31.6%
7,97515,37223,385
R
−7.1%
8,5349,85918,665
R
−17.9%
8,02811,53319,624
R
−8.6%
10,25112,17722,478
D
+9.8%
12,26910,01623,042
D
+16.0%
12,5879,08521,880
R
−17.4%
8,64312,29520,992
R
−33.3%
3,81110,35919,665
R
−49.0%
3,15311,74617,536
R
−17.0%
3,9035,5769,850
O
+19.0%
3,6331,8909,185
R
−0.2%
4,8214,8369,934
R
−12.0%
4,0745,2659,891
R
−5.6%
4,7585,34410,439
R
−9.6%
4,5905,58410,337
D
+18.1%
5,6493,8939,726
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
35.7%
Irish
16.4%
English
7.5%
American
4.2%
Italian
1.5%
French
1.4%
Scottish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.3%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.5%
Mainline Protestant
14.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
8.5%
Methodist
3.7%
Other Christian
3.3%
Baptist
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Clinton's economy has long been anchored by industrial and chemical manufacturing along the Mississippi River, producing a blue-collar electorate that has swung between parties in statewide contests by double-digit margins over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in Clinton, IA peaked at twenty-seven points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nineteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $66,981 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clinton, IA, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Clinton, IA, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clinton, IA, Iowa voted Republican by 18.8 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,878 votes cast, 9,472 went Democratic and 13,964 went Republican.
What is Clinton, IA, Iowa's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Clinton, IA, Iowa as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.
When did Clinton, IA, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clinton, IA, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Clinton, IA, Iowa?
Clinton, IA, Iowa has a population of 46,268 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clinton, IA, Iowa?
Median household income in Clinton, IA, Iowa is $66,981 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Clinton, IA, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clinton, IA, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.