Clinton, IA, Iowa: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 46,2682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,9812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 9,472 | 13,964 | 23,878 | ||
| R | 10,812 | 13,361 | 24,687 | ||
| R | 10,095 | 11,276 | 23,347 | ||
| D | 15,141 | 9,432 | 25,000 | ||
| D | 15,018 | 9,324 | 24,719 | ||
| D | 13,813 | 10,666 | 24,684 | ||
| D | 12,276 | 9,229 | 22,180 | ||
| D | 11,481 | 7,624 | 21,595 | ||
| D | 11,683 | 8,746 | 24,960 | ||
| D | 12,549 | 10,243 | 23,002 | ||
| R | 11,240 | 13,914 | 25,404 | ||
| R | 9,698 | 13,025 | 25,211 | ||
| R | 11,746 | 12,401 | 24,534 | ||
| R | 9,895 | 12,768 | 22,964 | ||
| R | 9,515 | 11,513 | 22,175 | ||
| D | 14,267 | 8,219 | 22,533 | ||
| R | 10,508 | 13,797 | 24,330 | ||
| R | 8,394 | 14,765 | 23,208 | ||
| R | 7,975 | 15,372 | 23,385 | ||
| R | 8,534 | 9,859 | 18,665 | ||
| R | 8,028 | 11,533 | 19,624 | ||
| R | 10,251 | 12,177 | 22,478 | ||
| D | 12,269 | 10,016 | 23,042 | ||
| D | 12,587 | 9,085 | 21,880 | ||
| R | 8,643 | 12,295 | 20,992 | ||
| R | 3,811 | 10,359 | 19,665 | ||
| R | 3,153 | 11,746 | 17,536 | ||
| R | 3,903 | 5,576 | 9,850 | ||
| O | 3,633 | 1,890 | 9,185 | ||
| R | 4,821 | 4,836 | 9,934 | ||
| R | 4,074 | 5,265 | 9,891 | ||
| R | 4,758 | 5,344 | 10,439 | ||
| R | 4,590 | 5,584 | 10,337 | ||
| D | 5,649 | 3,893 | 9,726 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Clinton's economy has long been anchored by industrial and chemical manufacturing along the Mississippi River, producing a blue-collar electorate that has swung between parties in statewide contests by double-digit margins over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Clinton, IA peaked at twenty-seven points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nineteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $66,981 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Clinton, IA, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.