Cortland, NY, New York: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+6%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 46,2462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,4182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 10,290 | 11,706 | 22,063 | ||
| R | 10,370 | 10,789 | 21,679 | ||
| R | 8,771 | 9,900 | 20,244 | ||
| D | 10,482 | 8,695 | 19,624 | ||
| D | 11,861 | 9,678 | 21,920 | ||
| R | 10,670 | 11,613 | 22,760 | ||
| R | 9,691 | 9,857 | 20,726 | ||
| D | 9,130 | 7,606 | 19,449 | ||
| D | 7,815 | 7,782 | 20,851 | ||
| R | 7,673 | 10,934 | 18,769 | ||
| R | 6,438 | 13,691 | 20,224 | ||
| R | 6,176 | 9,885 | 18,048 | ||
| R | 6,947 | 11,222 | 18,300 | ||
| R | 5,234 | 12,885 | 18,156 | ||
| R | 5,791 | 10,209 | 16,801 | ||
| D | 11,110 | 6,149 | 17,270 | ||
| R | 5,921 | 12,305 | 18,235 | ||
| R | 3,612 | 14,085 | 17,697 | ||
| R | 4,079 | 13,985 | 18,093 | ||
| R | 4,614 | 10,433 | 15,283 | ||
| R | 4,967 | 10,450 | 15,441 | ||
| R | 5,147 | 12,233 | 17,411 | ||
| R | 4,606 | 11,718 | 16,637 | ||
| R | 4,425 | 9,859 | 14,585 | ||
| R | 3,662 | 11,960 | 15,869 | ||
| R | 2,170 | 10,032 | 13,041 | ||
| R | 2,541 | 9,606 | 12,516 | ||
| R | 2,693 | 4,521 | 7,636 | ||
| R | 2,283 | 2,959 | 7,399 | ||
| R | 2,616 | 5,090 | 8,176 | ||
| R | 2,649 | 5,222 | 8,244 | ||
| R | 2,773 | 4,895 | 8,026 | ||
| R | 2,574 | 4,939 | 7,791 | ||
| R | 2,907 | 4,134 | 7,717 | ||
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Demographics
Cortland County's electorate reflects the pull of a mid-size state university campus alongside a declining manufacturing workforce, producing a competitive mix that has shifted measurably in presidential cycles over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Cortland, NY has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by six points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $70,418 — all within the broad national range.
Cortland, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/18660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.