Decatur, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 101,8492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,6662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 18,009 | 26,562 | 45,341 | ||
| R | 19,847 | 28,589 | 49,534 | ||
| R | 18,343 | 26,866 | 48,060 | ||
| R | 22,780 | 25,309 | 49,030 | ||
| D | 25,487 | 24,948 | 51,216 | ||
| R | 23,341 | 28,118 | 51,746 | ||
| D | 24,262 | 23,830 | 49,499 | ||
| D | 24,256 | 18,161 | 47,235 | ||
| D | 27,449 | 18,684 | 55,580 | ||
| D | 25,364 | 23,862 | 49,489 | ||
| R | 25,463 | 30,457 | 56,112 | ||
| R | 22,325 | 28,298 | 53,956 | ||
| D | 28,243 | 24,893 | 53,599 | ||
| R | 20,296 | 29,596 | 50,029 | ||
| D | 23,369 | 21,027 | 49,741 | ||
| D | 35,045 | 17,957 | 53,002 | ||
| R | 26,029 | 27,151 | 53,288 | ||
| R | 23,066 | 27,673 | 50,771 | ||
| R | 22,277 | 25,744 | 48,066 | ||
| D | 21,487 | 18,719 | 40,456 | ||
| D | 22,808 | 19,608 | 42,569 | ||
| D | 27,589 | 19,998 | 47,864 | ||
| D | 27,360 | 15,585 | 43,486 | ||
| D | 21,638 | 16,868 | 39,346 | ||
| R | 9,932 | 24,492 | 34,654 | ||
| R | 6,670 | 16,458 | 27,331 | ||
| R | 7,917 | 16,486 | 25,257 | ||
| R | 11,181 | 13,997 | 26,427 | ||
| O | 4,435 | 3,356 | 12,278 | ||
| R | 4,615 | 6,643 | 11,866 | ||
| R | 2,952 | 6,284 | 10,008 | ||
| R | 4,874 | 6,086 | 11,216 | ||
| R | 4,756 | 6,216 | 11,154 | ||
| R | 4,303 | 4,575 | 9,524 | ||
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Demographics
Decatur anchors Macon County, a once-reliably Democratic union stronghold that shifted sharply rightward as Archer Daniels Midland's workforce contracted and the region's industrial base eroded over the past three decades.
The Democratic margin in Decatur, IL peaked at thirty-two points in 1964. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was nineteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,666 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Decatur, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.