Defiance, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+40 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 38,3432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,0642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,667 | 13,302 | 19,260 | ||
| R | 5,981 | 13,038 | 19,381 | ||
| R | 5,368 | 11,688 | 18,603 | ||
| R | 7,732 | 10,176 | 18,461 | ||
| R | 8,399 | 10,407 | 19,232 | ||
| R | 6,975 | 11,397 | 18,516 | ||
| R | 6,175 | 9,540 | 16,242 | ||
| R | 6,343 | 7,469 | 15,893 | ||
| R | 5,735 | 7,195 | 17,211 | ||
| R | 5,448 | 9,566 | 15,153 | ||
| R | 5,004 | 10,951 | 16,130 | ||
| R | 5,096 | 9,358 | 15,639 | ||
| R | 5,850 | 7,526 | 13,679 | ||
| R | 4,377 | 8,914 | 13,630 | ||
| R | 5,686 | 7,348 | 13,959 | ||
| D | 8,707 | 5,048 | 13,755 | ||
| R | 5,207 | 8,912 | 14,119 | ||
| R | 3,941 | 8,786 | 12,727 | ||
| R | 4,161 | 8,834 | 12,995 | ||
| R | 4,454 | 5,927 | 10,409 | ||
| R | 3,634 | 7,450 | 11,084 | ||
| R | 4,313 | 8,010 | 12,323 | ||
| D | 5,608 | 5,000 | 11,670 | ||
| D | 6,532 | 3,871 | 10,595 | ||
| R | 3,487 | 6,289 | 9,776 | ||
| R | 3,227 | 4,841 | 9,213 | ||
| R | 3,723 | 5,987 | 9,890 | ||
| D | 3,359 | 2,565 | 6,055 | ||
| D | 2,784 | 872 | 5,504 | ||
| D | 3,754 | 2,531 | 6,482 | ||
| D | 3,216 | 3,032 | 6,392 | ||
| D | 3,766 | 2,684 | 6,578 | ||
| D | 4,239 | 2,414 | 6,703 | ||
| D | 3,311 | 2,062 | 5,876 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Defiance anchors a rural northwest Ohio labor market built around auto-parts and industrial production, a demographic profile that has tracked closely with working-class realignment trends visible across the Great Lakes region over the past two election cycles.
The Democratic margin in Defiance, OH peaked at thirty-five points in 1912. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,064 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Defiance, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.