akashic
1876–2024
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI·Michigan

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI votes the way the country votes.

Anchor of Michigan's electoral math, with one of the nation's largest Arab-American enclaves

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MI
Latest
D+7
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
4,376,828
2024 ACS

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+7%. Republican peak: R+70 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
4,376,8282024 5-year
Median household income
$77,5352024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.6%2024 5-year
Black
21.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+45 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+70 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
6 counties · 2 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+7.1%
1,268,2131,095,2032,428,202
D
+13.5%
1,351,2201,026,0362,408,987
D
+10.6%
1,110,502887,6292,100,631
D
+19.9%
1,242,859825,3292,093,158
D
+25.5%
1,360,918801,1602,194,510
D
+14.1%
1,203,845903,7052,126,747
D
+16.2%
1,061,771760,1641,865,676
D
+22.4%
963,486582,8191,696,468
D
+11.8%
907,147681,3301,910,614
R
−3.0%
783,217831,3241,628,660
R
−10.0%
780,252954,9231,744,079
D
+3.1%
849,725794,9271,776,709
D
+5.6%
878,861783,4551,692,388
R
−7.6%
755,536882,2091,669,487
D
+25.3%
951,841530,2271,665,797
D
+45.1%
1,188,876449,3561,641,553
D
+22.0%
1,043,578666,6561,715,994
D
+6.6%
847,846743,0681,593,666
D
+6.7%
751,649656,9721,414,791
D
+13.7%
584,538439,1031,063,251
D
+20.2%
651,173431,5631,088,376
D
+17.6%
537,840376,241920,622
D
+29.6%
482,625253,144776,125
D
+15.2%
382,135278,088684,323
R
−31.2%
184,959354,373543,642
R
−70.4%
36,728326,219411,382
R
−55.2%
67,677265,735358,650
R
−8.4%
79,55394,681179,536
O
−3.1%
35,34339,284128,306
R
−29.2%
39,03473,772118,984
R
−37.8%
33,24875,707112,211
R
−13.6%
46,13261,081109,946
R
−12.8%
46,09160,261110,428
D
+1.6%
46,34844,85695,332
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.1%
Irish
9.1%
Polish
8.6%
English
8.1%
Italian
5.8%
American
4.1%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.2%
75–84
2.8%
5.0%
65–74
5.7%
6.7%
55–64
7.0%
6.3%
45–54
6.5%
6.1%
35–44
6.3%
6.9%
25–34
6.9%
4.1%
18–24
3.9%
8.3%
5–17
7.9%
2.9%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$77,535
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI ranks near the middle of US counties.
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI$77,535
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.0%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)11.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.7%
Other languages4.6%
Spanish3.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.4%
Other Christian
6.5%
Non-Christian
5.8%
Baptist
4.7%
Mainline Protestant
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Methodist
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Detroit metro delivers lopsided Democratic margins in Wayne County while Macomb County swings between parties, making the combined suburban-urban balance a reliable bellwether for statewide outcomes.

The Democratic margin in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI has rarely exceeded forty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seventy points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,535 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan voted Democratic by 7.1 points (D+7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,428,202 votes cast, 1,268,213 went Democratic and 1,095,203 went Republican.
What is Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.
When did Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan?
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan has a population of 4,376,828 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan is $77,535 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.