Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+10%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 280,8702024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Duluth, MN-WI, MNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 89,314 | 72,233 | 165,060 | ||
| D | 91,020 | 69,731 | 164,577 | ||
| D | 77,588 | 62,451 | 153,169 | ||
| D | 99,630 | 53,422 | 156,924 | ||
| D | 104,682 | 53,126 | 161,329 | ||
| D | 105,957 | 55,202 | 163,086 | ||
| D | 86,450 | 47,928 | 144,251 | ||
| D | 79,764 | 34,754 | 132,702 | ||
| D | 81,868 | 34,180 | 145,815 | ||
| D | 93,041 | 42,865 | 137,246 | ||
| D | 101,163 | 46,105 | 148,525 | ||
| D | 89,928 | 45,425 | 150,706 | ||
| D | 97,765 | 46,701 | 148,983 | ||
| D | 79,273 | 55,299 | 136,681 | ||
| D | 93,311 | 34,653 | 132,930 | ||
| D | 104,318 | 32,605 | 137,381 | ||
| D | 89,756 | 52,540 | 143,016 | ||
| D | 79,950 | 53,253 | 133,902 | ||
| D | 81,002 | 52,752 | 135,297 | ||
| D | 81,798 | 37,484 | 126,697 | ||
| D | 82,507 | 37,278 | 121,061 | ||
| D | 91,327 | 43,338 | 136,808 | ||
| D | 93,185 | 29,574 | 125,151 | ||
| D | 53,482 | 46,107 | 110,516 | ||
| R | 34,301 | 60,193 | 98,107 | ||
| R | 3,518 | 46,062 | 85,976 | ||
| R | 18,030 | 38,070 | 64,615 | ||
| D | 16,111 | 14,937 | 35,754 | ||
| O | 6,936 | 4,894 | 28,599 | ||
| R | 6,685 | 17,072 | 26,938 | ||
| R | 3,182 | 16,419 | 21,526 | ||
| R | 7,321 | 14,420 | 22,487 | ||
| R | 10,482 | 15,253 | 26,102 | ||
| D | 8,234 | 6,923 | 17,500 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.2%
Irish
9.5%
English
7.1%
Polish
5.7%
Italian
3.9%
French
2.9%
American
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,227
Duluth, MN-WI ranks near the middle of US counties.
Duluth, MN-WI$72,227
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.7%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Anchored by Lake Superior's western tip, the Duluth metro has long blended union-household Democratic loyalty with rural conservative pressure from its Wisconsin and Minnesota hinterlands, producing competitive margins in statewide races.
The Democratic margin in Duluth, MN-WI has rarely exceeded fifty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-one points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by ten points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,227 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/20260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Democratic by 10.3 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 165,060 votes cast, 89,314 went Democratic and 72,233 went Republican.
What is Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota has a population of 280,870 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota is $72,227 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.