Ellensburg, WA, Washington: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 47,1722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,8042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 10,810 | 14,645 | 26,499 | ||
| R | 11,421 | 14,105 | 26,364 | ||
| R | 7,489 | 10,100 | 19,615 | ||
| R | 7,949 | 9,782 | 18,293 | ||
| R | 8,030 | 9,471 | 17,868 | ||
| R | 6,731 | 9,052 | 16,114 | ||
| R | 5,516 | 7,727 | 14,086 | ||
| D | 5,707 | 5,224 | 12,564 | ||
| D | 5,432 | 4,078 | 12,385 | ||
| D | 5,318 | 5,048 | 10,496 | ||
| R | 4,830 | 6,580 | 11,531 | ||
| R | 4,075 | 5,359 | 10,748 | ||
| D | 4,858 | 4,765 | 10,017 | ||
| R | 4,299 | 5,464 | 10,126 | ||
| R | 3,921 | 4,212 | 8,729 | ||
| D | 5,383 | 3,200 | 8,592 | ||
| R | 4,303 | 4,640 | 8,953 | ||
| R | 3,726 | 5,097 | 8,830 | ||
| R | 3,937 | 5,201 | 9,174 | ||
| D | 4,588 | 3,446 | 8,348 | ||
| D | 4,227 | 3,423 | 7,686 | ||
| D | 5,203 | 3,401 | 8,660 | ||
| D | 5,044 | 1,941 | 7,218 | ||
| D | 4,266 | 1,963 | 6,684 | ||
| R | 2,136 | 3,207 | 5,392 | ||
| R | 455 | 2,360 | 4,998 | ||
| R | 1,119 | 2,837 | 5,202 | ||
| D | 2,609 | 2,310 | 5,281 | ||
| O | 1,407 | 1,157 | 5,156 | ||
| R | 985 | 1,752 | 3,116 | ||
| R | 523 | 1,787 | 2,755 | ||
| R | 934 | 1,139 | 2,154 | ||
| D | 1,336 | 1,044 | 2,406 | ||
| R | 800 | 855 | 2,260 | ||
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Demographics
Central Washington University's enrollment shapes Ellensburg's demographics and turns out younger voters in a county that otherwise trends conservative, producing split-ticket patterns uncommon in surrounding rural precincts.
The Democratic margin in Ellensburg, WA has rarely exceeded forty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-six points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by fourteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 82% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $73,804 — all within the broad national range.
Ellensburg, WA, Washington — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/21260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.