Emporia, KS, Kansas: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+18%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 34,7472024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,6592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,863 | 8,552 | 14,776 | ||
| R | 6,400 | 8,673 | 15,479 | ||
| R | 4,965 | 7,521 | 13,841 | ||
| R | 5,469 | 7,345 | 13,146 | ||
| R | 6,307 | 7,674 | 14,295 | ||
| R | 5,652 | 9,006 | 14,941 | ||
| R | 5,581 | 7,500 | 13,772 | ||
| R | 5,380 | 7,390 | 14,771 | ||
| R | 5,281 | 5,700 | 16,341 | ||
| R | 5,852 | 7,704 | 13,792 | ||
| R | 4,581 | 10,958 | 15,691 | ||
| R | 5,093 | 9,504 | 16,154 | ||
| R | 6,277 | 7,984 | 15,029 | ||
| R | 4,035 | 10,341 | 14,700 | ||
| R | 4,482 | 7,596 | 13,104 | ||
| D | 7,083 | 6,086 | 13,255 | ||
| R | 5,463 | 8,746 | 14,258 | ||
| R | 4,360 | 9,574 | 13,997 | ||
| R | 4,457 | 10,359 | 14,902 | ||
| R | 6,669 | 7,373 | 14,306 | ||
| R | 5,982 | 7,220 | 13,316 | ||
| R | 7,514 | 8,789 | 16,457 | ||
| D | 9,046 | 7,615 | 16,750 | ||
| D | 8,068 | 7,529 | 15,987 | ||
| R | 3,500 | 10,832 | 14,451 | ||
| R | 3,508 | 8,112 | 13,884 | ||
| R | 4,207 | 7,151 | 11,617 | ||
| D | 7,168 | 5,571 | 13,536 | ||
| D | 3,175 | 1,438 | 7,398 | ||
| R | 3,396 | 3,994 | 7,769 | ||
| R | 2,023 | 4,667 | 7,444 | ||
| R | 3,821 | 4,167 | 8,144 | ||
| D | 4,257 | 3,672 | 8,044 | ||
| O | 0 | 3,595 | 7,225 | ||
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Demographics
Emporia anchors Lyon County, a former swing pocket that has shifted decisively Republican over the past two decades as its meatpacking and university workforce has aged and ruralized in political outlook.
The Democratic margin in Emporia, KS has rarely exceeded twenty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by eighteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $59,659 — all within the broad national range.
Emporia, KS, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/21380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.