Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+18%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 95,4602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,2672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,983 | 24,856 | 43,961 | ||
| R | 18,250 | 25,034 | 45,435 | ||
| R | 13,491 | 21,821 | 40,633 | ||
| R | 14,713 | 23,758 | 40,541 | ||
| R | 15,868 | 27,327 | 44,397 | ||
| R | 12,752 | 24,992 | 39,033 | ||
| R | 10,483 | 25,529 | 41,513 | ||
| R | 10,834 | 18,515 | 35,351 | ||
| R | 10,896 | 15,232 | 38,460 | ||
| R | 10,598 | 18,734 | 30,954 | ||
| R | 8,195 | 18,791 | 28,336 | ||
| R | 5,289 | 11,579 | 22,845 | ||
| R | 6,676 | 10,260 | 19,012 | ||
| R | 5,536 | 7,690 | 14,334 | ||
| R | 3,429 | 4,254 | 9,054 | ||
| D | 4,810 | 3,526 | 8,336 | ||
| D | 4,068 | 3,820 | 7,887 | ||
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Demographics
Fairbanks-College blends a sizable military and university population with a deep-rooted resource-economy workforce, producing a competitive mix that has swung statewide races by narrowing margins in interior precincts.
The Democratic margin in Fairbanks-College, AK has rarely exceeded fifteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-seven points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by eighteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $88,267 — all within the broad national range.
Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/21820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.