Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+6%. Republican peak: R+66 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 259,4592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,9852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Fargo, ND-MN, MNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 56,425 | 63,838 | 123,725 | ||
| R | 56,668 | 57,662 | 118,292 | ||
| R | 44,332 | 53,359 | 110,219 | ||
| D | 49,920 | 49,775 | 102,741 | ||
| D | 54,288 | 44,544 | 100,678 | ||
| R | 38,999 | 53,984 | 94,448 | ||
| R | 31,579 | 45,248 | 82,353 | ||
| R | 32,169 | 33,002 | 71,790 | ||
| R | 27,922 | 34,978 | 76,594 | ||
| R | 33,293 | 37,079 | 70,842 | ||
| R | 28,348 | 40,786 | 69,607 | ||
| R | 22,502 | 34,333 | 66,128 | ||
| R | 28,755 | 32,900 | 63,119 | ||
| R | 23,149 | 32,859 | 56,706 | ||
| R | 18,806 | 23,150 | 43,831 | ||
| D | 25,835 | 19,057 | 44,954 | ||
| R | 19,454 | 25,776 | 45,255 | ||
| R | 15,878 | 23,715 | 39,625 | ||
| R | 14,229 | 25,272 | 39,578 | ||
| D | 16,561 | 15,732 | 32,981 | ||
| D | 15,620 | 15,053 | 30,841 | ||
| D | 18,206 | 17,017 | 35,379 | ||
| D | 18,682 | 10,512 | 31,291 | ||
| D | 17,032 | 11,493 | 29,158 | ||
| R | 9,443 | 17,537 | 27,130 | ||
| R | 1,791 | 12,987 | 21,957 | ||
| R | 4,152 | 15,678 | 20,709 | ||
| D | 5,019 | 4,642 | 10,084 | ||
| O | 2,756 | 1,865 | 8,071 | ||
| R | 3,125 | 5,538 | 9,051 | ||
| R | 997 | 5,973 | 7,507 | ||
| R | 2,801 | 5,388 | 8,507 | ||
| R | 3,997 | 4,644 | 8,779 | ||
| R | 959 | 2,616 | 6,132 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
33.7%
Irish
7.3%
English
5.3%
French
3.0%
American
2.5%
Polish
2.2%
Italian
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,985
Fargo, ND-MN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Fargo, ND-MN$76,985
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.1%
Working age (18–64)11.5%
Seniors (65+)9.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.9%
Other languages2.5%
Spanish1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Fargo anchors the Red River Valley with a population split between North Dakota and a sliver of Minnesota, and despite North Dakota State University's student presence, the metro delivered one of the widest presidential margins of any mid-sized city in 2024.
The Democratic margin in Fargo, ND-MN has rarely exceeded twenty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-six points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by six points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $76,985 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/22020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 6.0 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 123,725 votes cast, 56,425 went Democratic and 63,838 went Republican.
What is Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 24 times, and other 1 times.
When did Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota?
Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota has a population of 259,459 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota is $76,985 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fargo, ND-MN, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.