akashic
1876–2024
Fayetteville, TN·Tennessee

For sixteen years, Fayetteville, TN voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A small Tennessee valley metro where manufacturing employment shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
TN
Latest
R+65
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
35,946
2024 ACS

Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+65%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+65MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
35,9462024 5-year
Median household income
$64,6672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.4%2024 5-year
Black
5.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+82 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+65 in 2024MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−64.6%
2,78213,20816,128
R
−60.0%
2,91912,28115,608
R
−58.8%
2,55410,39813,348
R
−49.1%
3,2909,80313,268
R
−42.2%
3,6959,23113,130
R
−26.4%
4,5467,82912,457
R
−3.5%
5,0605,43510,659
R
−1.9%
4,3614,5519,747
D
+12.1%
5,0633,81410,302
R
−7.7%
3,6724,2888,017
D
+1.5%
4,1033,9828,114
D
+30.1%
5,3872,8568,409
D
+53.3%
5,7321,7247,518
R
−26.5%
1,8673,2665,281
O
+9.4%
1,8481,1677,229
D
+47.5%
4,8611,7286,589
D
+54.2%
4,8621,4286,338
D
+56.7%
4,4341,2075,692
D
+46.2%
4,5101,6546,177
D
+63.8%
2,9693614,088
D
+73.3%
3,7355734,316
D
+75.6%
3,7815214,315
D
+77.7%
3,4514303,888
D
+81.9%
3,0952883,429
D
+52.3%
2,3777433,127
D
+72.8%
2,3563572,744
D
+38.5%
2,4631,0913,560
D
+66.7%
2,7915523,357
D
+57.7%
2,6516723,431
D
+52.6%
2,3116923,080
D
+50.7%
2,2276313,149
D
+50.8%
2,4637283,412
D
+51.5%
3,2699924,421
D
+45.3%
2,4295904,060
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
16.3%
English
15.3%
Irish
8.7%
German
6.3%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.1%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
35.0%
Other Christian
11.2%
Methodist
5.9%
Mainline Protestant
3.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Fayetteville anchors Lincoln County, a rural-leaning corridor where industrial workers and an aging population have driven increasingly lopsided margins in statewide races over the past two decades.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Fayetteville, TN peaked at eighty-two points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1996 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of two points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $64,667 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/22190/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 64.6 points (R+65), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,128 votes cast, 2,782 went Democratic and 13,208 went Republican.
What is Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee?
Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 35,946 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee is $64,667 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayetteville, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.