akashic
1876–2024
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR·Arkansas

Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 20 points.

Northwest Arkansas's fastest-growing metro reshapes the state's political map

18762024·38 elections
AR
Latest
R+20
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
577,726
2024 ACS

Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+20%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+20MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
577,7262024 5-year
Median household income
$82,2422024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
61.7%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
18.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+45 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−19.5%
90,501136,035233,254
R
−17.8%
87,636127,127221,529
R
−25.0%
62,959107,275177,609
R
−29.2%
52,97198,597156,285
R
−25.6%
54,49693,059150,781
R
−25.5%
50,77486,170138,608
R
−23.2%
40,75766,456110,733
R
−5.7%
40,12845,52795,090
R
−3.6%
40,21843,65696,436
R
−35.4%
24,06250,96375,991
R
−43.1%
20,75852,80574,411
R
−26.7%
23,94142,79870,696
D
+0.9%
29,82529,30459,282
R
−46.0%
13,08035,51648,740
R
−21.6%
11,79321,06443,013
D
+11.1%
18,53614,83033,458
R
−30.7%
10,71220,36531,470
R
−21.4%
10,78716,70827,644
R
−29.4%
10,59119,43430,098
D
+4.7%
8,8157,97117,884
R
−4.7%
7,7388,50916,284
D
+12.0%
7,5115,88813,531
D
+22.4%
7,4754,73512,258
D
+38.9%
11,5494,97416,889
R
−17.0%
6,4609,14015,736
D
+13.3%
5,9294,42311,352
D
+9.2%
6,9385,74912,979
D
+27.6%
7,4844,25011,734
D
+36.3%
5,1661,8929,007
D
+19.7%
7,2564,77212,580
D
+13.9%
5,0133,7319,239
D
+30.7%
7,1133,72311,026
D
+45.3%
8,4453,14211,694
D
+19.2%
6,4184,23711,381
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.0%
German
11.1%
Irish
8.6%
American
4.8%
Scottish
2.1%
Italian
2.0%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.8%
speak English only
Spanish11.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.9%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
18.0%
Other Christian
14.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
12.0%
Methodist
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Walmart's global headquarters and a booming Latinx population, this corridor has shifted from reliably rural-conservative toward a more contested suburban profile over the past decade.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, by a twenty-seven points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty points.

The political shift has tracked, in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $82,242, and a 11% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/22220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 19.5 points (R+20), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 233,254 votes cast, 90,501 went Democratic and 136,035 went Republican.
What is Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas?
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas has a population of 577,726 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas is $82,242 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.