Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+20%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 577,7262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,2422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 90,501 | 136,035 | 233,254 | ||
| R | 87,636 | 127,127 | 221,529 | ||
| R | 62,959 | 107,275 | 177,609 | ||
| R | 52,971 | 98,597 | 156,285 | ||
| R | 54,496 | 93,059 | 150,781 | ||
| R | 50,774 | 86,170 | 138,608 | ||
| R | 40,757 | 66,456 | 110,733 | ||
| R | 40,128 | 45,527 | 95,090 | ||
| R | 40,218 | 43,656 | 96,436 | ||
| R | 24,062 | 50,963 | 75,991 | ||
| R | 20,758 | 52,805 | 74,411 | ||
| R | 23,941 | 42,798 | 70,696 | ||
| D | 29,825 | 29,304 | 59,282 | ||
| R | 13,080 | 35,516 | 48,740 | ||
| R | 11,793 | 21,064 | 43,013 | ||
| D | 18,536 | 14,830 | 33,458 | ||
| R | 10,712 | 20,365 | 31,470 | ||
| R | 10,787 | 16,708 | 27,644 | ||
| R | 10,591 | 19,434 | 30,098 | ||
| D | 8,815 | 7,971 | 17,884 | ||
| R | 7,738 | 8,509 | 16,284 | ||
| D | 7,511 | 5,888 | 13,531 | ||
| D | 7,475 | 4,735 | 12,258 | ||
| D | 11,549 | 4,974 | 16,889 | ||
| R | 6,460 | 9,140 | 15,736 | ||
| D | 5,929 | 4,423 | 11,352 | ||
| D | 6,938 | 5,749 | 12,979 | ||
| D | 7,484 | 4,250 | 11,734 | ||
| D | 5,166 | 1,892 | 9,007 | ||
| D | 7,256 | 4,772 | 12,580 | ||
| D | 5,013 | 3,731 | 9,239 | ||
| D | 7,113 | 3,723 | 11,026 | ||
| D | 8,445 | 3,142 | 11,694 | ||
| D | 6,418 | 4,237 | 11,381 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Walmart's global headquarters and a booming Latinx population, this corridor has shifted from reliably rural-conservative toward a more contested suburban profile over the past decade.
The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, by a twenty-seven points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty points.
The political shift has tracked, in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $82,242, and a 11% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/22220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.