Fredericksburg, TX, Texas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+61%. Republican peak: R+85 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 27,5242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,1622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+85 in 1952MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Fredericksburg, TX, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,160 | 13,202 | 16,492 | ||
| R | 3,176 | 12,514 | 15,850 | ||
| R | 2,288 | 10,446 | 13,214 | ||
| R | 2,055 | 10,306 | 12,550 | ||
| R | 2,576 | 9,563 | 12,338 | ||
| R | 2,104 | 9,297 | 11,553 | ||
| R | 1,511 | 8,096 | 9,920 | ||
| R | 1,655 | 5,867 | 8,151 | ||
| R | 1,600 | 4,712 | 8,372 | ||
| R | 1,588 | 5,662 | 7,313 | ||
| R | 1,137 | 5,496 | 6,651 | ||
| R | 1,170 | 4,736 | 6,018 | ||
| R | 1,260 | 3,541 | 4,885 | ||
| R | 526 | 3,490 | 4,074 | ||
| R | 725 | 2,945 | 4,105 | ||
| D | 2,264 | 1,695 | 3,960 | ||
| R | 816 | 2,687 | 3,507 | ||
| R | 240 | 3,070 | 3,315 | ||
| R | 300 | 3,687 | 3,995 | ||
| R | 593 | 2,741 | 3,413 | ||
| R | 333 | 2,950 | 3,573 | ||
| R | 487 | 3,213 | 3,704 | ||
| R | 1,016 | 1,421 | 2,514 | ||
| D | 2,642 | 662 | 3,317 | ||
| R | 1,174 | 1,447 | 2,625 | ||
| O | 352 | 768 | 2,702 | ||
| R | 137 | 1,270 | 2,104 | ||
| R | 405 | 1,463 | 1,882 | ||
| O | 307 | 219 | 1,606 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
30.2%
English
14.3%
Irish
9.7%
American
4.4%
Scottish
3.4%
Italian
1.4%
Polish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 50.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,162
Fredericksburg, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
Fredericksburg, TX$76,162
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.0%
Working age (18–64)9.0%
Seniors (65+)13.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.5%
speak English only
Spanish13.9%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 16.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Rapid in-migration of retirees and remote workers has made the Fredericksburg metro one of Texas's fastest-growing micro-markets, shifting a historically agricultural Hill Country electorate toward more competitive margins over the past decade.
The Democratic margin in Fredericksburg, TX peaked at sixty points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $76,162 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fredericksburg, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/23240/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Fredericksburg, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fredericksburg, TX, Texas voted Republican by 60.9 points (R+61), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,492 votes cast, 3,160 went Democratic and 13,202 went Republican.
What is Fredericksburg, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Fredericksburg, TX, Texas as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 25 times, and other 2 times.
When did Fredericksburg, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fredericksburg, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas?
Fredericksburg, TX, Texas has a population of 27,524 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas is $76,162 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Fredericksburg, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fredericksburg, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.