akashic
1876–2024
Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA·California

Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+32
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
51,239
2024 ACS

Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+69 in 1952.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+32MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
51,2392024 5-year
Median household income
$91,2202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.0%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+69 in 1952MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−31.5%
12,03223,48036,294
R
−28.2%
12,04721,87434,871
R
−31.0%
8,78817,63228,487
R
−25.5%
9,68616,51226,729
R
−14.4%
11,09414,90026,421
R
−27.9%
8,64815,50324,599
R
−28.9%
6,10211,47418,560
R
−22.3%
5,3679,09216,714
R
−14.3%
4,1436,40415,776
R
−36.4%
3,3377,38011,107
R
−51.4%
2,0716,6498,915
R
−51.6%
1,4855,5087,804
R
−20.9%
2,1233,3205,729
R
−46.8%
1,1783,2644,457
R
−39.3%
7531,9513,051
R
−6.4%
1,1011,2512,352
R
−34.8%
6271,2961,923
R
−61.0%
2851,1771,462
R
−69.2%
1961,0771,273
R
−42.9%
3238251,170
R
−33.3%
327654981
R
−29.3%
3927171,110
D
+13.5%
551420971
D
+8.3%
454384841
R
−45.5%
189505694
R
−46.1%
100395640
R
−57.0%
153567726
R
−9.4%
324397775
O
+19.5%
17780497
R
−23.8%
184304505
R
−46.2%
121336465
R
−9.1%
234281515
D
+17.1%
304215521
R
−43.2%
53261481
R
−32.5%
275380
R
−21.7%
365692
R
−23.4%
4166107
R
−25.7%
65110175

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.5%
German
14.5%
Irish
13.0%
American
6.6%
Italian
5.7%
Scottish
3.4%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.4%
speak English only
Spanish8.2%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Religious adherence data not available for this county.

Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA sits in the Pacific Coast. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic metro — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.

The Democratic margin in Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA peaked at twenty points in 1912. By 1940 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $91,220 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/23820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California voted Republican by 31.5 points (R+32), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 36,294 votes cast, 12,032 went Democratic and 23,480 went Republican.
What is Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 34 times, and other 1 times.
When did Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California?
Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California has a population of 51,239 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California?
Median household income in Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California is $91,220 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 34 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.