Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+69 in 1952.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 51,2392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $91,2202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69 in 1952MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,032 | 23,480 | 36,294 | ||
| R | 12,047 | 21,874 | 34,871 | ||
| R | 8,788 | 17,632 | 28,487 | ||
| R | 9,686 | 16,512 | 26,729 | ||
| R | 11,094 | 14,900 | 26,421 | ||
| R | 8,648 | 15,503 | 24,599 | ||
| R | 6,102 | 11,474 | 18,560 | ||
| R | 5,367 | 9,092 | 16,714 | ||
| R | 4,143 | 6,404 | 15,776 | ||
| R | 3,337 | 7,380 | 11,107 | ||
| R | 2,071 | 6,649 | 8,915 | ||
| R | 1,485 | 5,508 | 7,804 | ||
| R | 2,123 | 3,320 | 5,729 | ||
| R | 1,178 | 3,264 | 4,457 | ||
| R | 753 | 1,951 | 3,051 | ||
| R | 1,101 | 1,251 | 2,352 | ||
| R | 627 | 1,296 | 1,923 | ||
| R | 285 | 1,177 | 1,462 | ||
| R | 196 | 1,077 | 1,273 | ||
| R | 323 | 825 | 1,170 | ||
| R | 327 | 654 | 981 | ||
| R | 392 | 717 | 1,110 | ||
| D | 551 | 420 | 971 | ||
| D | 454 | 384 | 841 | ||
| R | 189 | 505 | 694 | ||
| R | 100 | 395 | 640 | ||
| R | 153 | 567 | 726 | ||
| R | 324 | 397 | 775 | ||
| O | 177 | 80 | 497 | ||
| R | 184 | 304 | 505 | ||
| R | 121 | 336 | 465 | ||
| R | 234 | 281 | 515 | ||
| D | 304 | 215 | 521 | ||
| R | 53 | 261 | 481 | ||
| R | 27 | 53 | 80 | ||
| R | 36 | 56 | 92 | ||
| R | 41 | 66 | 107 | ||
| R | 65 | 110 | 175 |
Demographics
Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA sits in the Pacific Coast. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic metro — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.
The Democratic margin in Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA peaked at twenty points in 1912. By 1940 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $91,220 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/23820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.