akashic
1876–2024
Grand Forks, ND-MN·Minnesota

Grand Forks, ND-MN delivered R+23 in 2024.

A university town anchoring a competitive Red River Valley corridor

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+23
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
103,628
2024 ACS

Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+23%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+23MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
103,6282024 5-year
Median household income
$69,5662024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.9%2024 5-year
Black
3.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+42 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−23.2%
17,43628,28546,830
R
−18.3%
18,31926,85246,564
R
−21.6%
15,56325,31945,161
R
−4.2%
20,80522,67544,722
D
+4.9%
23,95421,66846,487
R
−14.4%
19,37526,02246,138
R
−16.8%
16,35723,48442,525
D
+1.5%
17,74517,16939,423
R
−6.0%
16,78019,52246,038
R
−4.3%
20,01721,83342,193
R
−17.7%
17,08324,51541,973
R
−21.6%
14,14823,29342,375
D
+0.6%
20,62320,37242,252
R
−12.0%
16,78221,50039,360
D
+0.6%
16,07515,87634,018
D
+27.4%
21,79212,40634,286
R
−2.3%
17,68718,52536,252
R
−9.3%
14,21117,13631,403
R
−19.7%
12,88319,26532,345
D
+18.5%
16,27511,03628,369
D
+24.1%
16,51510,07026,744
D
+21.6%
19,04812,24331,491
D
+41.7%
20,5598,06329,986
D
+29.3%
16,3308,69426,090
R
−22.1%
9,65715,23925,237
R
−45.8%
1,60611,71722,091
R
−50.6%
4,63815,84322,132
D
+14.4%
6,3124,63011,662
O
+15.0%
3,1541,6909,746
R
−22.0%
3,6786,05110,770
R
−55.0%
1,5246,3568,786
R
−14.0%
4,0655,46610,014
D
+13.4%
6,9475,28712,432
O
−19.5%
1,3763,1499,089
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
27.3%
Irish
8.7%
English
5.2%
Polish
3.8%
French
3.5%
American
2.4%
Italian
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.4%
2.1%
75–84
2.6%
4.5%
65–74
4.5%
5.4%
55–64
5.4%
4.9%
45–54
4.4%
6.2%
35–44
5.7%
7.9%
25–34
6.3%
8.4%
18–24
7.4%
8.2%
5–17
7.9%
3.2%
<5
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,566
Grand Forks, ND-MN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Grand Forks, ND-MN$69,566
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.4%
Working age (18–64)13.5%
Seniors (65+)12.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.6%
Spanish2.1%
Other languages1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
23.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
18.1%
Other Christian
3.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Methodist
0.9%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to the University of North Dakota, Grand Forks trends more competitive than its surrounding region, with the student and faculty population tempering the broader rural Republican lean that dominates both the North Dakota and Minnesota sides of the metro.

The Democratic margin in Grand Forks, ND-MN has rarely exceeded forty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-five points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by twenty-three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 84% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,566 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 23.2 points (R+23), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,830 votes cast, 17,436 went Democratic and 28,285 went Republican.
What is Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 20 times, and other 2 times.
When did Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota?
Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota has a population of 103,628 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota is $69,566 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Grand Forks, ND-MN, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.