Grants Pass, OR, Oregon: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+29%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 88,1792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,0982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,928 | 31,128 | 49,628 | ||
| R | 18,451 | 31,751 | 51,641 | ||
| R | 13,453 | 26,923 | 44,560 | ||
| R | 14,953 | 23,673 | 40,238 | ||
| R | 17,412 | 22,973 | 42,049 | ||
| R | 15,214 | 26,241 | 42,275 | ||
| R | 11,864 | 22,186 | 36,733 | ||
| R | 11,113 | 16,048 | 32,111 | ||
| R | 11,007 | 13,003 | 33,559 | ||
| R | 10,646 | 15,876 | 27,272 | ||
| R | 8,539 | 19,470 | 28,062 | ||
| R | 7,116 | 16,827 | 26,336 | ||
| R | 9,061 | 10,726 | 21,110 | ||
| R | 5,090 | 9,911 | 16,927 | ||
| R | 4,351 | 8,456 | 14,671 | ||
| R | 6,857 | 6,918 | 13,801 | ||
| R | 5,419 | 7,387 | 12,831 | ||
| R | 4,863 | 7,967 | 12,830 | ||
| R | 3,353 | 8,200 | 11,655 | ||
| R | 3,290 | 5,004 | 8,588 | ||
| R | 3,214 | 4,010 | 7,355 | ||
| R | 2,888 | 3,964 | 6,932 | ||
| D | 2,840 | 1,992 | 5,955 | ||
| D | 3,060 | 1,757 | 5,198 | ||
| R | 959 | 2,625 | 3,681 | ||
| R | 650 | 1,756 | 3,257 | ||
| R | 819 | 1,606 | 2,581 | ||
| R | 1,656 | 1,660 | 3,593 | ||
| O | 702 | 305 | 2,230 | ||
| R | 732 | 967 | 2,037 | ||
| R | 327 | 914 | 1,501 | ||
| R | 744 | 919 | 1,750 | ||
| D | 1,194 | 844 | 2,096 | ||
| O | 283 | 502 | 1,349 | ||
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Demographics
Grants Pass anchors Josephine County, one of Oregon's most reliably right-leaning jurisdictions, where rural land use, public-lands policy, and law-enforcement funding have driven some of the state's sharpest local ballot battles.
The Democratic margin in Grants Pass, OR peaked at twenty-five points in 1932. By 1940 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $60,098 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Grants Pass, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.