akashic
1876–2024
Grants Pass, OR·Oregon

Grants Pass, OR was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Rogue Valley's fastest-growing conservative pocket in western Oregon

18762024·38 elections
OR
Latest
R+29
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
88,179
2024 ACS

Grants Pass, OR, Oregon: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+29%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+29MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
88,1792024 5-year
Median household income
$60,0982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.7%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+25 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−28.6%
16,92831,12849,628
R
−25.8%
18,45131,75151,641
R
−30.2%
13,45326,92344,560
R
−21.7%
14,95323,67340,238
R
−13.2%
17,41222,97342,049
R
−26.1%
15,21426,24142,275
R
−28.1%
11,86422,18636,733
R
−15.4%
11,11316,04832,111
R
−5.9%
11,00713,00333,559
R
−19.2%
10,64615,87627,272
R
−39.0%
8,53919,47028,062
R
−36.9%
7,11616,82726,336
R
−7.9%
9,06110,72621,110
R
−28.5%
5,0909,91116,927
R
−28.0%
4,3518,45614,671
R
−0.4%
6,8576,91813,801
R
−15.3%
5,4197,38712,831
R
−24.2%
4,8637,96712,830
R
−41.6%
3,3538,20011,655
R
−20.0%
3,2905,0048,588
R
−10.8%
3,2144,0107,355
R
−15.5%
2,8883,9646,932
D
+14.2%
2,8401,9925,955
D
+25.1%
3,0601,7575,198
R
−45.3%
9592,6253,681
R
−34.0%
6501,7563,257
R
−30.5%
8191,6062,581
R
−0.1%
1,6561,6603,593
O
+17.8%
7023052,230
R
−11.5%
7329672,037
R
−39.1%
3279141,501
R
−10.0%
7449191,750
D
+16.7%
1,1948442,096
O
−16.2%
2835021,349
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.9%
English
15.7%
Irish
12.5%
American
4.7%
Italian
4.0%
Scottish
2.9%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.2%
speak English only
Spanish3.3%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
21.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Baptist
0.5%
Methodist
0.4%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Grants Pass anchors Josephine County, one of Oregon's most reliably right-leaning jurisdictions, where rural land use, public-lands policy, and law-enforcement funding have driven some of the state's sharpest local ballot battles.

The Democratic margin in Grants Pass, OR peaked at twenty-five points in 1932. By 1940 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $60,098 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Grants Pass, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Grants Pass, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Grants Pass, OR, Oregon voted Republican by 28.6 points (R+29), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 49,628 votes cast, 16,928 went Democratic and 31,128 went Republican.
What is Grants Pass, OR, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Grants Pass, OR, Oregon as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 29 times, and other 2 times.
When did Grants Pass, OR, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Grants Pass, OR, Oregon voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Grants Pass, OR, Oregon?
Grants Pass, OR, Oregon has a population of 88,179 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Grants Pass, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Grants Pass, OR, Oregon is $60,098 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Grants Pass, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Grants Pass, OR, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.