akashic
1876–2024
Great Falls, MT·Montana

Great Falls, MT peaked at D+52; 2024 delivered R+22.

Missouri River hub where ranching culture shapes a reliably conservative electorate

18762024·38 elections
MT
Latest
R+22
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
84,606
2024 ACS

Great Falls, MT, Montana: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+22%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+22MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
84,6062024 5-year
Median household income
$67,6902024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.7%2024 5-year
Black
1.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+52 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−22.3%
13,97122,34137,452
R
−19.7%
15,45623,31539,885
R
−21.6%
12,17519,63234,571
R
−9.0%
15,23218,34534,576
D
+2.3%
17,66416,85735,388
R
−15.9%
13,70119,02833,459
R
−15.1%
13,13718,16433,317
D
+4.0%
15,70714,29135,006
D
+6.1%
14,71912,49436,578
R
−0.7%
15,71815,94632,124
R
−16.2%
14,25219,84634,505
R
−20.3%
11,10517,66432,234
R
−2.0%
14,67815,28930,511
R
−10.6%
12,89916,15930,836
D
+7.2%
13,50711,58826,803
D
+32.3%
17,6098,98626,714
D
+8.4%
14,11711,92826,090
R
−5.8%
11,09812,45523,553
R
−4.8%
11,05112,17623,373
D
+26.5%
12,0826,83019,817
D
+26.1%
10,9246,37217,437
D
+35.4%
13,6376,44320,324
D
+52.0%
13,3254,07717,789
D
+25.2%
10,0475,80016,823
R
−11.1%
6,5408,18314,856
R
−24.4%
2,2205,08111,706
R
−24.8%
3,9386,80811,572
D
+31.6%
6,6123,25310,641
O
+12.2%
1,6331,0794,549
R
−1.1%
1,8881,9354,313
R
−23.5%
1,3852,4054,346
D
+12.2%
2,5641,9974,648
D
+50.6%
2,9209533,888
R
−3.9%
1,1841,2952,864
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.9%
Irish
12.8%
English
11.5%
American
7.4%
Italian
3.7%
Scottish
2.8%
French
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
20.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.2%
Mainline Protestant
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Methodist
1.0%
Baptist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Cascade County anchors Montana's north-central plains, where an economy built on agriculture, military presence at Malmstrom Air Force Base, and energy production consistently produces Republican margins above the statewide average.

The Democratic margin in Great Falls, MT peaked at fifty-two points in 1936. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,690 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Great Falls, MT, Montana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Great Falls, MT, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Great Falls, MT, Montana voted Republican by 22.3 points (R+22), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 37,452 votes cast, 13,971 went Democratic and 22,341 went Republican.
What is Great Falls, MT, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Great Falls, MT, Montana as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 19 times, and other 1 times.
When did Great Falls, MT, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Great Falls, MT, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Great Falls, MT, Montana?
Great Falls, MT, Montana has a population of 84,606 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Great Falls, MT, Montana?
Median household income in Great Falls, MT, Montana is $67,690 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Great Falls, MT, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Great Falls, MT, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.