Great Falls, MT, Montana: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+22%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 84,6062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,6902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 13,971 | 22,341 | 37,452 | ||
| R | 15,456 | 23,315 | 39,885 | ||
| R | 12,175 | 19,632 | 34,571 | ||
| R | 15,232 | 18,345 | 34,576 | ||
| D | 17,664 | 16,857 | 35,388 | ||
| R | 13,701 | 19,028 | 33,459 | ||
| R | 13,137 | 18,164 | 33,317 | ||
| D | 15,707 | 14,291 | 35,006 | ||
| D | 14,719 | 12,494 | 36,578 | ||
| R | 15,718 | 15,946 | 32,124 | ||
| R | 14,252 | 19,846 | 34,505 | ||
| R | 11,105 | 17,664 | 32,234 | ||
| R | 14,678 | 15,289 | 30,511 | ||
| R | 12,899 | 16,159 | 30,836 | ||
| D | 13,507 | 11,588 | 26,803 | ||
| D | 17,609 | 8,986 | 26,714 | ||
| D | 14,117 | 11,928 | 26,090 | ||
| R | 11,098 | 12,455 | 23,553 | ||
| R | 11,051 | 12,176 | 23,373 | ||
| D | 12,082 | 6,830 | 19,817 | ||
| D | 10,924 | 6,372 | 17,437 | ||
| D | 13,637 | 6,443 | 20,324 | ||
| D | 13,325 | 4,077 | 17,789 | ||
| D | 10,047 | 5,800 | 16,823 | ||
| R | 6,540 | 8,183 | 14,856 | ||
| R | 2,220 | 5,081 | 11,706 | ||
| R | 3,938 | 6,808 | 11,572 | ||
| D | 6,612 | 3,253 | 10,641 | ||
| O | 1,633 | 1,079 | 4,549 | ||
| R | 1,888 | 1,935 | 4,313 | ||
| R | 1,385 | 2,405 | 4,346 | ||
| D | 2,564 | 1,997 | 4,648 | ||
| D | 2,920 | 953 | 3,888 | ||
| R | 1,184 | 1,295 | 2,864 | ||
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Demographics
Cascade County anchors Montana's north-central plains, where an economy built on agriculture, military presence at Malmstrom Air Force Base, and energy production consistently produces Republican margins above the statewide average.
The Democratic margin in Great Falls, MT peaked at fifty-two points in 1936. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,690 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Great Falls, MT, Montana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.