Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 331,1452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,2912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 78,963 | 105,074 | 186,729 | ||
| R | 76,202 | 100,024 | 179,327 | ||
| R | 62,949 | 87,173 | 159,984 | ||
| R | 76,544 | 81,324 | 159,824 | ||
| D | 83,098 | 69,320 | 154,509 | ||
| R | 68,644 | 84,186 | 154,361 | ||
| R | 61,026 | 67,847 | 134,449 | ||
| D | 53,857 | 47,383 | 113,768 | ||
| R | 47,461 | 51,642 | 129,151 | ||
| R | 53,123 | 55,039 | 108,848 | ||
| R | 38,951 | 65,621 | 105,337 | ||
| R | 38,854 | 60,936 | 107,045 | ||
| R | 44,720 | 47,250 | 94,549 | ||
| R | 33,912 | 48,414 | 85,043 | ||
| R | 27,974 | 40,280 | 74,514 | ||
| D | 42,003 | 28,534 | 70,639 | ||
| R | 35,878 | 36,502 | 72,448 | ||
| R | 19,638 | 44,820 | 64,842 | ||
| R | 19,696 | 44,689 | 64,538 | ||
| R | 25,464 | 26,240 | 52,283 | ||
| R | 24,535 | 27,838 | 52,528 | ||
| D | 28,188 | 26,479 | 54,889 | ||
| D | 33,117 | 13,734 | 48,828 | ||
| D | 31,630 | 10,944 | 43,221 | ||
| D | 24,706 | 15,588 | 40,552 | ||
| O | 3,325 | 11,191 | 32,075 | ||
| R | 5,505 | 16,202 | 23,729 | ||
| D | 9,674 | 7,806 | 18,044 | ||
| D | 6,776 | 5,867 | 15,825 | ||
| R | 6,538 | 9,557 | 17,038 | ||
| R | 5,148 | 10,884 | 16,777 | ||
| R | 6,434 | 9,438 | 16,150 | ||
| R | 6,780 | 10,107 | 17,270 | ||
| D | 7,198 | 4,648 | 12,271 | ||
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Demographics
The Green Bay metro anchors Wisconsin's northeastern lakeshore and has trended competitive in recent cycles, with a large working-class Catholic population and a fast-growing Latino community reshaping its electoral calculus.
The Democratic margin in Green Bay, WI peaked at forty-eight points in 1932. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fourteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $79,291 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.