akashic
1876–2024
Green Bay, WI·Wisconsin

Green Bay, WI peaked at D+48; 2024 delivered R+14.

A Fox River corridor that swings federal and state races by narrow margins

18762024·38 elections
WI
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
331,145
2024 ACS

Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
331,1452024 5-year
Median household income
$79,2912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.6%2024 5-year
Black
2.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+48 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1920MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−14.0%
78,963105,074186,729
R
−13.3%
76,202100,024179,327
R
−15.1%
62,94987,173159,984
R
−3.0%
76,54481,324159,824
D
+8.9%
83,09869,320154,509
R
−10.1%
68,64484,186154,361
R
−5.1%
61,02667,847134,449
D
+5.7%
53,85747,383113,768
R
−3.2%
47,46151,642129,151
R
−1.8%
53,12355,039108,848
R
−25.3%
38,95165,621105,337
R
−20.6%
38,85460,936107,045
R
−2.7%
44,72047,25094,549
R
−17.1%
33,91248,41485,043
R
−16.5%
27,97440,28074,514
D
+19.1%
42,00328,53470,639
R
−0.9%
35,87836,50272,448
R
−38.8%
19,63844,82064,842
R
−38.7%
19,69644,68964,538
R
−1.5%
25,46426,24052,283
R
−6.3%
24,53527,83852,528
D
+3.1%
28,18826,47954,889
D
+39.7%
33,11713,73448,828
D
+47.9%
31,63010,94443,221
D
+22.5%
24,70615,58840,552
O
−24.5%
3,32511,19132,075
R
−45.1%
5,50516,20223,729
D
+10.4%
9,6747,80618,044
D
+5.7%
6,7765,86715,825
R
−17.7%
6,5389,55717,038
R
−34.2%
5,14810,88416,777
R
−18.6%
6,4349,43816,150
R
−19.3%
6,78010,10717,270
D
+20.8%
7,1984,64812,271
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
33.4%
Irish
9.2%
Polish
9.0%
English
4.8%
American
4.0%
French
3.2%
Italian
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.1%
speak English only
Spanish5.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
31.8%
Mainline Protestant
11.9%
Other Christian
7.2%
Methodist
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Baptist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Green Bay metro anchors Wisconsin's northeastern lakeshore and has trended competitive in recent cycles, with a large working-class Catholic population and a fast-growing Latino community reshaping its electoral calculus.

The Democratic margin in Green Bay, WI peaked at forty-eight points in 1932. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fourteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $79,291 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin voted Republican by 14.0 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 186,729 votes cast, 78,963 went Democratic and 105,074 went Republican.
What is Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin?
Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin has a population of 331,145 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin is $79,291 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Green Bay, WI, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.