Greensboro-High Point, NC, North Carolina: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+47 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 786,4192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,8662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 26.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 202,745 | 201,881 | 410,656 | ||
| D | 204,696 | 195,489 | 405,611 | ||
| D | 176,670 | 174,322 | 364,258 | ||
| D | 177,489 | 175,176 | 356,587 | ||
| D | 175,770 | 162,615 | 341,530 | ||
| R | 127,438 | 158,865 | 287,612 | ||
| D | 134,332 | 105,413 | 241,488 | ||
| R | 92,087 | 105,012 | 214,081 | ||
| R | 91,473 | 93,515 | 216,570 | ||
| R | 70,543 | 104,532 | 175,967 | ||
| R | 64,143 | 116,750 | 181,174 | ||
| R | 66,331 | 84,377 | 156,861 | ||
| D | 72,953 | 69,140 | 142,808 | ||
| R | 36,676 | 94,624 | 133,402 | ||
| R | 37,729 | 60,541 | 134,237 | ||
| D | 62,039 | 58,437 | 120,476 | ||
| R | 51,482 | 66,585 | 118,067 | ||
| R | 39,248 | 54,916 | 94,164 | ||
| R | 50,426 | 52,624 | 103,050 | ||
| D | 32,344 | 25,475 | 63,446 | ||
| D | 39,527 | 24,754 | 64,281 | ||
| D | 46,335 | 19,224 | 65,559 | ||
| D | 45,035 | 18,963 | 63,998 | ||
| D | 34,441 | 18,231 | 53,322 | ||
| R | 17,471 | 29,540 | 47,011 | ||
| D | 18,668 | 15,724 | 34,822 | ||
| D | 19,232 | 17,822 | 37,054 | ||
| D | 9,679 | 8,658 | 18,384 | ||
| D | 8,434 | 1,524 | 14,650 | ||
| D | 8,181 | 7,547 | 15,822 | ||
| D | 7,031 | 4,800 | 11,893 | ||
| D | 8,251 | 8,035 | 16,362 | ||
| D | 8,843 | 8,767 | 17,793 | ||
| D | 6,634 | 6,376 | 15,403 | ||
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Demographics
Guilford County's large Black electorate and a cluster of historically Black colleges consistently push Greensboro toward Democratic margins, while surrounding Forsyth and Randolph counties pull the broader metro in a competitive direction.
The Democratic margin in Greensboro-High Point, NC has rarely exceeded forty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-three points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by zero points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $65,866 — all within the broad national range.
Greensboro-High Point, NC, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.