Greenville, NC, North Carolina: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+93 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 177,1932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,1882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 35.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 45,596 | 40,403 | 87,131 | ||
| D | 47,252 | 38,982 | 87,573 | ||
| D | 41,824 | 35,691 | 80,527 | ||
| D | 41,843 | 36,214 | 78,856 | ||
| D | 40,501 | 33,927 | 74,884 | ||
| R | 24,924 | 28,590 | 53,643 | ||
| D | 23,192 | 19,685 | 43,075 | ||
| R | 17,555 | 18,227 | 38,011 | ||
| D | 17,959 | 16,609 | 39,895 | ||
| R | 14,777 | 18,245 | 33,127 | ||
| R | 13,481 | 18,983 | 32,526 | ||
| R | 12,590 | 12,816 | 26,371 | ||
| D | 11,636 | 9,532 | 21,288 | ||
| R | 5,858 | 14,406 | 20,459 | ||
| O | 7,696 | 5,745 | 22,608 | ||
| D | 11,317 | 5,149 | 16,466 | ||
| D | 12,526 | 3,458 | 15,984 | ||
| D | 11,873 | 2,515 | 14,388 | ||
| D | 11,271 | 2,203 | 13,474 | ||
| D | 8,519 | 602 | 9,522 | ||
| D | 8,556 | 495 | 9,051 | ||
| D | 10,067 | 369 | 10,436 | ||
| D | 9,539 | 325 | 9,864 | ||
| D | 7,724 | 255 | 8,000 | ||
| D | 4,646 | 1,395 | 6,041 | ||
| D | 3,197 | 512 | 3,765 | ||
| D | 4,196 | 864 | 5,060 | ||
| D | 2,839 | 719 | 3,558 | ||
| D | 2,303 | 347 | 3,086 | ||
| D | 2,419 | 890 | 3,312 | ||
| D | 2,329 | 429 | 2,775 | ||
| D | 3,264 | 2,156 | 5,456 | ||
| D | 3,181 | 2,390 | 5,582 | ||
| D | 2,052 | 1,221 | 4,698 | ||
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Demographics
Pitt County's large student and medical-sector workforce pulls Greenville's core leftward, while the surrounding rural counties consistently offset that lean, making the metro a reliable bellwether for eastern North Carolina's congressional margins.
The Democratic margin in Greenville, NC has rarely exceeded ninety-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-two points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by six points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 53% non-Hispanic-white share, a 20% poverty rate, and a median household income of $58,188 — all within the broad national range.
Greenville, NC, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/24780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.