Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV, West Virginia: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+30%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 302,6492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,7392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 46,707 | 88,643 | 138,531 | ||
| R | 45,228 | 80,040 | 128,014 | ||
| R | 35,023 | 74,974 | 116,172 | ||
| R | 41,680 | 62,743 | 107,133 | ||
| R | 44,960 | 59,438 | 106,167 | ||
| R | 34,903 | 62,721 | 98,536 | ||
| R | 28,957 | 45,206 | 76,252 | ||
| R | 26,731 | 33,892 | 67,798 | ||
| R | 25,508 | 33,696 | 71,581 | ||
| R | 22,266 | 39,675 | 62,337 | ||
| R | 20,967 | 43,474 | 64,690 | ||
| R | 22,495 | 35,689 | 61,164 | ||
| R | 26,047 | 31,498 | 57,545 | ||
| R | 15,680 | 38,202 | 54,594 | ||
| R | 17,210 | 25,517 | 52,246 | ||
| D | 30,306 | 20,079 | 50,385 | ||
| R | 24,073 | 28,949 | 53,022 | ||
| R | 18,315 | 31,472 | 49,787 | ||
| R | 20,882 | 28,501 | 49,467 | ||
| R | 18,489 | 20,088 | 38,770 | ||
| R | 18,079 | 20,681 | 38,760 | ||
| D | 24,069 | 20,179 | 44,331 | ||
| D | 24,006 | 19,759 | 43,862 | ||
| D | 19,737 | 17,381 | 37,537 | ||
| R | 10,114 | 23,420 | 33,668 | ||
| R | 9,905 | 14,770 | 26,951 | ||
| R | 11,963 | 15,833 | 28,285 | ||
| D | 9,246 | 9,103 | 18,830 | ||
| D | 12,629 | 3,868 | 16,685 | ||
| D | 11,945 | 8,327 | 7,285 | ||
| D | 13,584 | 8,226 | 7,025 | ||
| D | 8,459 | 8,348 | 6,547 | ||
| R | 6,899 | 9,032 | 16,383 | ||
| R | 7,382 | 7,542 | 15,198 | ||
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Demographics
Straddling the Potomac, this two-state metro has shifted sharply toward Republican margins over the past decade, driven by working-class suburban growth in Berkeley County, WV, and slower population gains on the Maryland side.
The Democratic margin in Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV peaked at seventy-six points in 1904. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $78,739 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV, West Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/25180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.