Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+36%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 100,0352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,1812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Hot Springs, AR, AROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 13,015 | 28,359 | 42,327 | ||
| R | 14,045 | 29,069 | 44,199 | ||
| R | 12,311 | 26,087 | 39,387 | ||
| R | 13,804 | 26,014 | 40,728 | ||
| R | 15,899 | 26,825 | 43,719 | ||
| R | 18,040 | 21,734 | 40,154 | ||
| R | 15,840 | 19,098 | 35,935 | ||
| D | 19,211 | 13,662 | 36,206 | ||
| D | 18,811 | 12,886 | 35,995 | ||
| R | 11,406 | 19,281 | 31,642 | ||
| R | 11,484 | 21,213 | 33,958 | ||
| R | 12,515 | 15,739 | 29,717 | ||
| D | 15,707 | 10,394 | 26,170 | ||
| R | 5,207 | 15,602 | 21,112 | ||
| R | 5,655 | 7,674 | 20,284 | ||
| D | 11,591 | 9,952 | 21,629 | ||
| R | 6,333 | 7,204 | 13,944 | ||
| R | 5,437 | 9,427 | 15,076 | ||
| R | 5,165 | 7,848 | 13,065 | ||
| D | 3,764 | 2,286 | 7,154 | ||
| D | 3,596 | 2,069 | 5,669 | ||
| D | 3,335 | 1,424 | 4,772 | ||
| D | 2,931 | 1,217 | 4,183 | ||
| D | 4,252 | 833 | 5,086 | ||
| D | 2,823 | 2,720 | 5,558 | ||
| D | 1,501 | 1,064 | 2,837 | ||
| D | 1,670 | 1,055 | 2,901 | ||
| D | 1,678 | 1,057 | 2,735 | ||
| D | 1,046 | 300 | 2,027 | ||
| D | 1,340 | 1,105 | 2,575 | ||
| R | 804 | 854 | 1,677 | ||
| D | 940 | 708 | 1,661 | ||
| D | 1,465 | 703 | 2,244 | ||
| D | 1,456 | 940 | 2,534 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.7%
Irish
12.5%
German
11.2%
American
6.2%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 45.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$57,181
Hot Springs, AR ranks near the middle of US counties.
Hot Springs, AR$57,181
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.8%
Working age (18–64)14.9%
Seniors (65+)10.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.0%
speak English only
Spanish5.0%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Hot Springs anchors a small metro where tourism history and a disproportionately older population shape turnout patterns, contributing to the low-density, high-Republican-margin profile typical of Arkansas's non-delta interior counties.
The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Hot Springs, AR, by a nine points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-nine points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-six points.
The political shift has tracked, in Hot Springs, AR, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $57,181, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/26300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.3 points (R+36), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,327 votes cast, 13,015 went Democratic and 28,359 went Republican.
What is Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas has a population of 100,035 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas is $57,181 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.