akashic
1876–2024
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX·Texas

Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX votes the way the country votes.

America's most ethnically diverse major metro shifts margins each cycle

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
7,442,788
2024 ACS

Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+75 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
7,442,7882024 5-year
Median household income
$83,6742024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
40.1%2024 5-year
Black
17.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
38.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+75 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+26 in 1972MIT Election Lab
10 counties · 2 D · 8 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−6.9%
1,216,3841,400,2792,661,805
D
+0.7%
1,332,4531,312,5972,682,409
R
−1.3%
993,2091,020,5662,104,670
R
−11.8%
814,2081,034,8151,873,062
R
−8.1%
826,212973,3841,813,190
R
−17.5%
667,186952,5381,630,402
R
−17.3%
574,623823,3651,435,228
R
−7.4%
526,806617,0521,220,390
R
−6.1%
488,460569,4111,321,309
R
−15.1%
467,633636,3761,114,439
R
−24.6%
438,017725,0451,166,222
R
−19.0%
364,193543,488944,888
R
−2.7%
424,023447,514879,169
R
−26.3%
266,848458,339728,659
R
−1.3%
237,444244,982601,818
D
+22.6%
299,073188,678488,853
R
−2.4%
199,992210,195420,316
R
−21.6%
127,814199,938333,574
R
−11.2%
150,221188,231338,884
D
+18.3%
85,17454,518167,305
D
+58.2%
100,49516,273144,608
D
+57.5%
102,88027,730130,797
D
+75.4%
82,77511,41994,588
D
+71.3%
73,60112,09186,313
R
−1.9%
35,49836,88572,503
D
+41.0%
36,91314,12355,553
D
+22.1%
21,65911,81844,584
D
+46.0%
19,3566,82527,240
D
+56.9%
13,8932,37020,242
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.9%
English
6.7%
Irish
4.9%
American
3.6%
Italian
2.0%
French
1.6%
Polish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
60.0%
speak English only
Spanish29.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander5.0%
Other Indo-European3.7%
Other languages1.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.4%
Baptist
12.9%
Other Christian
12.9%
Methodist
3.7%
Non-Christian
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Houston's electorate is roughly 44% Hispanic, 17% Black, and 33% non-Hispanic white, a mix that has steadily compressed Republican margins in countywide races while suburban nodes like The Woodlands continue to anchor conservative turnout.

The Democratic margin in Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX has rarely exceeded seventy-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-six points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 40% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $83,674 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/26420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas voted Republican by 6.9 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,661,805 votes cast, 1,216,384 went Democratic and 1,400,279 went Republican.
What is Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas?
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas has a population of 7,442,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas is $83,674 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.