Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+39 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 2,130,0552024 5-year
Median household income: $83,8412024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 69.1%2024 5-year
Black: 15.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 8.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+26 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+39 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

11 counties · 1 D · 10 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−3.4%	436,917	467,977	926,188
2020	R	−2.0%	458,479	477,312	955,852
2016	R	−8.6%	361,874	435,399	854,069
2012	R	−7.5%	359,378	419,128	795,141
2008	D	+2.8%	413,991	390,936	812,532
2004	R	−22.5%	265,826	421,240	692,199
2000	R	−20.0%	226,200	342,828	583,375
1996	R	−15.5%	209,868	297,161	561,571
1992	R	−15.3%	192,646	284,306	598,379
1988	R	−27.5%	203,447	358,451	564,642
1984	R	−28.7%	196,678	356,247	556,176
1980	R	−22.8%	198,070	324,292	553,926
1976	R	−14.1%	234,048	311,600	550,311
1972	R	−39.0%	153,949	352,662	508,894
1968	R	−18.3%	176,740	269,255	504,240
1964	D	+2.5%	248,175	235,914	485,776
1960	R	−17.1%	196,507	277,587	475,493
1956	R	−22.5%	167,219	264,429	432,962
1952	R	−20.6%	172,386	262,452	437,285
1948	R	−2.0%	164,023	170,696	339,076
1944	R	−5.2%	170,371	189,329	362,110
1940	R	−1.9%	194,356	201,795	397,739
1936	D	+14.9%	202,996	149,674	357,742
1932	D	+6.4%	180,599	158,138	349,220
1928	R	−20.8%	119,179	182,197	303,400
1924	R	−18.3%	108,269	159,015	276,801
1920	R	−10.0%	116,216	142,901	267,771
1916	R	−2.8%	67,700	71,777	147,252
1912	D	+26.1%	59,214	24,754	131,955
1908	D	+0.5%	68,282	67,607	141,463
1904	R	−15.4%	52,015	72,099	130,809
1900	R	−5.9%	57,348	64,711	125,443
1896	R	−5.8%	53,863	60,662	116,289
1892	D	+1.4%	47,608	46,231	98,846
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

16.8%

English

11.4%

Irish

9.3%

American

7.1%

Italian

2.4%

Scottish

1.8%

Polish

1.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 37.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.6%

85+

1.0%

1.8%

75–84

2.3%

4.2%

65–74

4.8%

5.8%

55–64

6.2%

6.1%

45–54

6.2%

6.8%

35–44

7.0%

7.1%

25–34

7.2%

4.3%

18–24

4.3%

9.3%

5–17

8.8%

3.2%

3.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$83,841

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN ranks near the middle of US counties.

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN$83,841

Indiana$71,957

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.7%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.3%

Working age (18–64)9.6%

Seniors (65+)9.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

87.0%

speak English only

Spanish6.6%

Other Indo-European2.7%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%

Other languages1.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

13.9%

Catholic & Orthodox

11.9%

Baptist

6.0%

Mainline Protestant

4.1%

Methodist

3.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.7%

Non-Christian

1.8%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Indianapolis proper has trended Democratic in recent cycles while the collar counties of Hamilton and Hendricks remain among Indiana's most reliably Republican suburban jurisdictions, making the metro a study in urban-suburban divergence.

The Democratic margin in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN has rarely exceeded twenty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $83,841 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/26900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana vote in 2024?

In 2024, Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana voted Republican by 3.4 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 926,188 votes cast, 436,917 went Democratic and 467,977 went Republican.

What is Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 27 times, and other 0 times.

When did Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana voted Democratic was 2008.

How many people live in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana?

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana has a population of 2,130,055 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana?

Median household income in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana is $83,841 — above the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.

What is the political history of Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions