Jacksonville, FL, Florida: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+93 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,683,9602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $81,7632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 353,101 | 513,539 | 875,880 | ||
| R | 372,324 | 483,665 | 866,717 | ||
| R | 289,606 | 419,879 | 734,933 | ||
| R | 270,248 | 399,054 | 675,128 | ||
| R | 278,051 | 383,037 | 665,545 | ||
| R | 214,733 | 372,985 | 591,544 | ||
| R | 151,563 | 255,946 | 415,453 | ||
| R | 151,853 | 200,474 | 377,568 | ||
| R | 122,478 | 182,964 | 360,327 | ||
| R | 96,194 | 185,043 | 282,587 | ||
| R | 94,494 | 178,319 | 272,853 | ||
| R | 112,679 | 133,264 | 254,229 | ||
| D | 130,615 | 94,319 | 227,415 | ||
| R | 52,499 | 148,561 | 201,668 | ||
| O | 61,621 | 60,311 | 196,815 | ||
| R | 90,754 | 96,626 | 187,380 | ||
| D | 83,153 | 67,777 | 150,930 | ||
| D | 63,323 | 63,040 | 126,363 | ||
| D | 64,503 | 59,314 | 123,817 | ||
| D | 34,472 | 18,593 | 72,673 | ||
| D | 44,911 | 14,976 | 59,887 | ||
| D | 49,853 | 11,513 | 61,366 | ||
| D | 33,301 | 7,373 | 40,674 | ||
| D | 26,151 | 8,300 | 34,451 | ||
| R | 13,704 | 21,485 | 35,749 | ||
| D | 8,102 | 4,209 | 14,997 | ||
| D | 17,264 | 8,731 | 27,351 | ||
| D | 7,828 | 1,890 | 11,382 | ||
| D | 5,238 | 389 | 7,066 | ||
| D | 4,112 | 1,303 | 6,429 | ||
| D | 3,524 | 1,206 | 5,454 | ||
| D | 2,929 | 1,098 | 4,298 | ||
| D | 2,819 | 1,742 | 4,954 | ||
| D | 2,435 | 0 | 2,605 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 4,215 | 5,294 | 9,509 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Jacksonville's consolidated city-county government makes it one of Florida's most Republican-leaning major metros, but rapid suburban growth in St. Johns County has outpaced the core, pulling regional margins steadily rightward over the past decade.
The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Jacksonville, FL, by a eight points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was eighteen points.
The political shift has tracked, in Jacksonville, FL, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $81,763, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Jacksonville, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/27260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.