akashic
1876–2024
Jacksonville, IL·Illinois

Jacksonville, IL was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

18762024·38 elections
IL
Latest
R+37
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
37,958
2024 ACS

Jacksonville, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+37%. Republican peak: R+37 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+37MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
37,9582024 5-year
Median household income
$66,3582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.7%2024 5-year
Black
4.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+28 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−36.7%
5,33611,67817,264
R
−35.5%
5,64812,06418,076
R
−33.4%
5,23111,04217,408
R
−17.0%
6,7169,55916,710
R
−2.7%
8,5579,04617,953
R
−25.3%
6,57711,08817,816
R
−15.8%
6,8539,51616,803
R
−1.8%
7,1627,46416,776
R
−1.5%
7,4087,69819,080
R
−17.4%
7,27510,34317,676
R
−33.4%
6,30412,65919,032
R
−29.8%
6,42412,39620,039
R
−9.4%
8,82710,67419,721
R
−32.3%
6,81913,33120,165
R
−16.8%
7,53310,87319,875
D
+11.6%
11,1878,86720,054
R
−15.6%
8,80212,05820,876
R
−23.4%
7,80512,56520,381
R
−21.9%
8,14312,70320,853
R
−9.0%
8,53310,23818,843
R
−11.4%
8,82911,10819,988
R
−4.7%
11,57412,72224,382
D
+7.2%
12,74511,00923,949
D
+15.9%
13,1829,52722,934
R
−25.8%
7,53512,79320,384
R
−14.2%
7,71510,45019,255
R
−23.6%
6,23310,24416,964
R
−0.5%
9,5619,66219,638
D
+28.3%
4,9892,15210,041
D
+2.3%
5,3695,12010,938
R
−7.7%
4,5795,41110,783
D
+3.1%
5,9065,54511,749
D
+2.9%
5,9215,57811,651
D
+7.7%
5,2884,47710,479
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.0%
English
16.2%
Irish
13.0%
American
8.2%
Italian
3.1%
French
1.6%
Scottish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.6%
speak English only
Spanish1.4%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
11.7%
Mainline Protestant
9.9%
Baptist
9.9%
Methodist
5.1%
Other Christian
4.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jacksonville, IL sits in the Upper Midwest. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic metro — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.

The Democratic margin in Jacksonville, IL peaked at twenty-eight points in 1912. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $66,358 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jacksonville, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/27300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Jacksonville, IL, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jacksonville, IL, Illinois voted Republican by 36.7 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,264 votes cast, 5,336 went Democratic and 11,678 went Republican.
What is Jacksonville, IL, Illinois's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Jacksonville, IL, Illinois as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.
When did Jacksonville, IL, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jacksonville, IL, Illinois voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Jacksonville, IL, Illinois?
Jacksonville, IL, Illinois has a population of 37,958 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jacksonville, IL, Illinois?
Median household income in Jacksonville, IL, Illinois is $66,358 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Jacksonville, IL, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jacksonville, IL, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.