Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+22%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 125,5442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,3512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, NYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 22,085 | 34,528 | 57,046 | ||
| R | 23,088 | 34,853 | 59,196 | ||
| R | 19,091 | 31,594 | 54,234 | ||
| R | 23,812 | 27,971 | 52,852 | ||
| D | 29,129 | 28,579 | 58,802 | ||
| R | 27,257 | 32,434 | 60,944 | ||
| R | 27,016 | 29,064 | 58,722 | ||
| D | 26,831 | 21,261 | 56,290 | ||
| D | 22,645 | 21,222 | 62,789 | ||
| R | 25,814 | 31,642 | 57,867 | ||
| R | 22,986 | 39,597 | 62,724 | ||
| R | 22,871 | 30,081 | 58,756 | ||
| R | 27,447 | 33,730 | 61,436 | ||
| R | 26,253 | 37,158 | 63,583 | ||
| R | 26,431 | 28,561 | 58,507 | ||
| D | 42,924 | 19,069 | 62,056 | ||
| R | 28,143 | 37,836 | 66,031 | ||
| R | 20,269 | 44,149 | 64,418 | ||
| R | 23,427 | 42,043 | 65,620 | ||
| R | 20,683 | 29,969 | 52,144 | ||
| R | 22,086 | 32,824 | 55,174 | ||
| R | 21,524 | 35,536 | 57,316 | ||
| R | 23,283 | 30,435 | 54,927 | ||
| R | 16,914 | 30,479 | 50,275 | ||
| R | 13,223 | 38,220 | 52,584 | ||
| R | 5,560 | 29,757 | 41,764 | ||
| R | 6,781 | 27,618 | 38,587 | ||
| R | 7,153 | 14,782 | 23,770 | ||
| O | 4,954 | 7,899 | 21,844 | ||
| R | 6,158 | 15,739 | 23,985 | ||
| R | 5,295 | 15,891 | 22,775 | ||
| R | 6,660 | 15,318 | 22,652 | ||
| R | 6,581 | 14,325 | 21,507 | ||
| R | 6,397 | 11,595 | 19,866 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.1%
English
13.3%
Italian
12.3%
Irish
11.9%
Polish
8.1%
American
3.9%
French
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$58,351
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY ranks near the middle of US counties.
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY$58,351
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.2%
Working age (18–64)16.3%
Seniors (65+)10.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.8%
speak English only
Spanish5.3%
Other Indo-European3.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Chautauqua County anchors this small metro along Lake Erie's southern shore, where manufacturing decline has redrawn political loyalties over two decades and countywide margins have swung sharply in presidential cycles.
The Democratic margin in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY peaked at thirty-eight points in 1964. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $58,351 sits well below state and national norms, and 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/27460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Republican by 21.8 points (R+22), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,046 votes cast, 22,085 went Democratic and 34,528 went Republican.
What is Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 29 times, and other 1 times.
When did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York has a population of 125,544 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York is $58,351 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.