akashic
1876–2024
Jefferson City, MO·Missouri

Jefferson City, MO peaked at D+33; 2024 delivered R+43.

Missouri's capital metro, where state-government employment anchors a mid-size conservative core

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+43
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
150,437
2024 ACS

Jefferson City, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
150,4372024 5-year
Median household income
$73,8992024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.2%2024 5-year
Black
6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+33 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−43.5%
21,12254,42676,627
R
−42.6%
20,90953,07075,531
R
−43.3%
18,13748,87670,909
R
−36.5%
21,15746,26868,784
R
−27.5%
25,53045,30371,810
R
−34.9%
21,89845,57867,836
R
−22.3%
22,87836,32360,326
R
−11.8%
20,91127,20053,512
R
−9.8%
19,87825,50057,446
R
−29.9%
17,27532,09749,490
R
−45.4%
13,98637,20651,192
R
−21.9%
19,09930,23750,914
R
−19.6%
17,26925,78643,386
R
−49.1%
10,67031,22741,897
R
−23.9%
12,88122,16938,931
D
+2.0%
19,27518,52137,796
R
−2.3%
19,04719,94838,995
R
−4.5%
17,55019,21136,761
R
−7.8%
17,59820,58038,217
D
+15.1%
19,56514,42434,038
D
+0.9%
17,34417,02834,420
D
+5.2%
20,63518,60839,291
D
+18.1%
22,19615,36637,764
D
+32.8%
23,44411,84435,404
D
+3.5%
17,03615,87632,981
D
+2.8%
15,52414,63831,361
R
−8.8%
13,72516,38630,270
D
+8.7%
9,8558,27218,282
D
+18.3%
8,9975,98416,497
D
+9.9%
9,5747,82417,634
D
+10.5%
9,0547,30116,748
D
+13.1%
9,7257,43617,489
D
+16.9%
10,1087,16217,454
D
+14.4%
8,0705,90914,980
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
30.0%
English
10.9%
Irish
9.4%
American
8.7%
French
2.3%
Italian
2.1%
Scottish
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.2%
2.3%
75–84
3.0%
5.1%
65–74
5.6%
6.6%
55–64
6.7%
6.4%
45–54
5.6%
7.1%
35–44
5.8%
6.8%
25–34
6.0%
4.6%
18–24
4.4%
8.4%
5–17
8.0%
3.0%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,899
Jefferson City, MO ranks near the middle of US counties.
Jefferson City, MO$73,899
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.8%
Working age (18–64)8.8%
Seniors (65+)11.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.2%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.5%
Baptist
15.2%
Mainline Protestant
6.6%
Other Christian
5.4%
Methodist
3.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jefferson City anchors Cole County, one of Missouri's most reliably Republican metros, yet its government workforce and proximity to the University of Missouri create a distinct professional-class voter bloc that moderates margins relative to surrounding rural counties.

The Democratic margin in Jefferson City, MO peaked at thirty-three points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,899 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson City, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/27620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Jefferson City, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson City, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 43.5 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 76,627 votes cast, 21,122 went Democratic and 54,426 went Republican.
What is Jefferson City, MO, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Jefferson City, MO, Missouri as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Jefferson City, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jefferson City, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Jefferson City, MO, Missouri has a population of 150,437 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri is $73,899 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.