akashic
1876–2024
Johnstown, PA·Pennsylvania

Johnstown, PA peaked at D+35; 2024 delivered R+40.

A post-steel metro where working-class realignment reshaped the map

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+40
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
131,538
2024 ACS

Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+40MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
131,5382024 5-year
Median household income
$58,4182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
91.0%2024 5-year
Black
3.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−39.6%
21,17749,40871,345
R
−37.3%
21,73048,08570,574
R
−36.8%
18,86742,25863,589
R
−18.0%
24,24935,16360,526
D
+0.7%
32,45131,99565,670
R
−2.2%
32,59134,04866,983
D
+3.8%
30,30828,00160,286
D
+17.0%
30,39120,34159,275
D
+20.4%
34,33420,77066,349
D
+20.0%
38,51725,62664,552
D
+10.6%
39,86532,17372,296
D
+4.2%
36,12133,07272,131
D
+8.8%
38,79732,46972,128
R
−21.8%
27,95043,82572,975
D
+10.0%
41,22533,28079,150
D
+35.4%
55,18326,28181,598
D
+17.1%
52,40937,06289,622
R
−5.2%
41,75346,37388,249
D
+12.7%
50,77439,29490,250
D
+19.6%
41,53327,72570,422
D
+16.8%
39,67628,20368,143
D
+17.1%
42,89430,30673,401
D
+30.9%
46,68724,37872,304
D
+13.4%
28,19721,35151,145
R
−4.3%
27,02429,49456,945
R
−23.4%
13,56324,72847,764
R
−41.2%
6,96119,62930,712
R
−5.9%
9,41610,68821,482
O
+18.6%
7,2823,25221,725
R
−20.4%
7,97912,32521,296
R
−27.7%
7,23213,10921,220
R
−18.3%
7,16810,47618,064
R
−12.6%
6,8438,86516,022
D
+1.9%
6,2596,02012,696
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
31.7%
Irish
16.0%
Italian
11.7%
Polish
9.5%
English
8.7%
American
4.8%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.4%
speak English only
Spanish1.2%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
35.6%
Methodist
9.1%
Other Christian
8.8%
Mainline Protestant
6.7%
Baptist
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 36.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union households, the Johnstown metro has swung sharply toward Republicans over the past two decades as manufacturing employment collapsed and the electorate's cultural priorities shifted.

The Democratic margin in Johnstown, PA peaked at thirty-five points in 1964. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $58,418 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/27780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 39.6 points (R+40), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 71,345 votes cast, 21,177 went Democratic and 49,408 went Republican.
What is Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania?
Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 131,538 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania is $58,418 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Johnstown, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.