Kansas City, MO-KS, Missouri: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+34 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,218,1422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,4522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 541,652 | 513,512 | 1,079,507 | ||
| D | 559,895 | 508,524 | 1,092,045 | ||
| R | 436,284 | 451,531 | 960,210 | ||
| R | 447,036 | 468,710 | 935,325 | ||
| D | 515,075 | 459,981 | 987,703 | ||
| R | 434,368 | 464,493 | 906,060 | ||
| D | 377,333 | 370,249 | 771,543 | ||
| D | 330,662 | 299,307 | 695,202 | ||
| D | 322,484 | 246,506 | 764,287 | ||
| D | 326,727 | 313,829 | 644,270 | ||
| R | 273,607 | 370,010 | 645,410 | ||
| R | 270,299 | 293,784 | 604,702 | ||
| D | 282,944 | 272,793 | 566,388 | ||
| R | 188,657 | 335,716 | 529,746 | ||
| R | 224,020 | 230,736 | 520,676 | ||
| D | 310,387 | 182,768 | 494,929 | ||
| R | 265,648 | 270,667 | 537,106 | ||
| R | 240,007 | 254,649 | 494,944 | ||
| R | 240,812 | 263,069 | 504,849 | ||
| D | 243,882 | 167,288 | 413,618 | ||
| D | 198,314 | 185,185 | 384,380 | ||
| D | 237,305 | 196,434 | 434,686 | ||
| D | 321,194 | 162,851 | 485,878 | ||
| D | 276,586 | 150,520 | 429,903 | ||
| R | 158,292 | 224,546 | 383,913 | ||
| R | 129,700 | 167,324 | 319,017 | ||
| R | 137,397 | 149,243 | 290,122 | ||
| D | 104,070 | 78,210 | 187,301 | ||
| D | 70,116 | 22,054 | 141,519 | ||
| D | 73,428 | 63,785 | 140,708 | ||
| R | 51,704 | 65,227 | 122,757 | ||
| D | 66,123 | 57,317 | 126,386 | ||
| D | 69,331 | 52,578 | 123,215 | ||
| R | 38,299 | 39,905 | 100,267 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Kansas City straddles Missouri and Kansas, meaning its suburbs fall under divergent state electoral maps — Johnson County, KS has trended toward competitive margins while Jackson County, MO anchors the metro's Democratic base.
The Democratic margin in Kansas City, MO-KS has rarely exceeded thirty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,452 — all within the broad national range.
Kansas City, MO-KS, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.