Kearney, NE, Nebraska: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+46%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 57,2922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,2302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,122 | 19,892 | 27,492 | ||
| R | 7,051 | 19,462 | 27,328 | ||
| R | 5,313 | 17,100 | 24,425 | ||
| R | 6,138 | 15,919 | 22,633 | ||
| R | 6,743 | 15,321 | 22,443 | ||
| R | 4,807 | 16,843 | 21,987 | ||
| R | 4,607 | 14,264 | 19,583 | ||
| R | 5,059 | 11,957 | 18,904 | ||
| R | 4,392 | 11,482 | 20,918 | ||
| R | 5,758 | 12,102 | 18,042 | ||
| R | 3,812 | 13,873 | 17,812 | ||
| R | 3,893 | 12,281 | 17,773 | ||
| R | 5,527 | 9,925 | 15,901 | ||
| R | 3,747 | 10,790 | 14,537 | ||
| R | 3,700 | 8,592 | 13,216 | ||
| D | 7,203 | 6,777 | 13,980 | ||
| R | 5,154 | 9,660 | 14,814 | ||
| R | 4,272 | 9,500 | 13,772 | ||
| R | 3,431 | 10,889 | 14,320 | ||
| R | 5,116 | 6,302 | 11,418 | ||
| R | 5,119 | 7,855 | 12,974 | ||
| R | 5,621 | 8,179 | 13,800 | ||
| D | 8,447 | 5,809 | 14,683 | ||
| D | 8,239 | 4,902 | 13,492 | ||
| R | 3,894 | 9,886 | 13,882 | ||
| R | 3,580 | 6,199 | 11,997 | ||
| R | 3,531 | 6,637 | 10,600 | ||
| D | 4,273 | 2,976 | 7,525 | ||
| D | 3,073 | 1,417 | 6,794 | ||
| D | 3,694 | 3,519 | 7,513 | ||
| R | 1,127 | 3,789 | 6,245 | ||
| D | 3,165 | 2,971 | 6,360 | ||
| D | 3,593 | 2,790 | 6,540 | ||
| O | 2,683 | 502 | 6,326 | ||
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Demographics
Kearney's metro sits at the crossroads of I-80 and the Union Pacific main line, drawing a workforce tied to meatpacking and regional logistics. Buffalo County has voted Republican in presidential races by consistent double-digit margins over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Kearney, NE peaked at thirty-four points in 1892. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-six points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $76,230 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Kearney, NE, Nebraska — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.