akashic
1876–2024
Kerrville, TX·Texas

Kerrville, TX peaked at D+55; 2024 delivered R+54.

Hill Country hub where retiree migration shapes the electorate

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+54
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
53,489
2024 ACS

Kerrville, TX, Texas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+54%. Republican peak: R+59 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+54MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
53,4892024 5-year
Median household income
$69,3952024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
73.9%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
26.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+55 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+59 in 2012MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−54.3%
6,31521,61528,170
R
−51.7%
6,52420,87927,745
R
−56.0%
4,68117,72723,297
R
−59.1%
4,33817,27421,879
R
−49.6%
5,57016,75222,556
R
−56.4%
4,55716,53821,246
R
−55.3%
4,00214,63719,228
R
−41.6%
4,19211,17316,775
R
−31.1%
3,7078,78716,358
R
−51.0%
3,58711,20714,937
R
−58.3%
3,10211,82914,974
R
−44.4%
3,3879,09012,855
R
−22.6%
3,7676,0219,978
R
−58.4%
1,5116,0397,760
R
−27.3%
1,8783,6926,643
D
+3.4%
2,8942,7065,608
R
−42.0%
1,3233,2524,596
R
−55.1%
1,0253,5554,594
R
−46.6%
1,3373,6835,029
R
−0.5%
1,5051,5203,204
D
+0.6%
1,3771,3582,943
D
+18.9%
1,6341,1122,756
D
+22.9%
1,5869942,589
D
+55.0%
2,1656232,804
R
−46.8%
5701,5752,147
R
−8.7%
7358921,809
D
+12.9%
6124641,149
D
+37.6%
621272927
D
+50.6%
577126892
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
17.6%
German
16.4%
Irish
10.8%
American
4.5%
Italian
2.4%
French
2.4%
Scottish
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.6%
speak English only
Spanish12.9%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.1%
Other Christian
15.1%
Baptist
11.5%
Methodist
5.7%
Mainline Protestant
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.3%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Kerrville anchors Kerr County, a reliably red exurban market where an influx of retirees from larger metros has steadily grown the voter rolls without meaningfully shifting its lopsided Republican margins.

The Democratic margin in Kerrville, TX peaked at fifty-five points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,395 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kerrville, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Kerrville, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kerrville, TX, Texas voted Republican by 54.3 points (R+54), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,170 votes cast, 6,315 went Democratic and 21,615 went Republican.
What is Kerrville, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Kerrville, TX, Texas as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Kerrville, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kerrville, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Kerrville, TX, Texas?
Kerrville, TX, Texas has a population of 53,489 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kerrville, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Kerrville, TX, Texas is $69,395 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Kerrville, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kerrville, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.